3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

5 – 1 Full time

Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, SinsheimReferee: F. Michel

Hoffenheim II 34%
Draw 25%
SSV Jahn Regensburg 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHoffenheim IIDrawSSV Jahn Regensburg
Model33.4%24.9%41.8%
Market34.5%25.3%40.3%
Final34.2%25.2%40.6%
Edge-1.1%-0.4%+1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why SSV Jahn Regensburg

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hoffenheim II ↓ / SSV Jahn Regen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Hoffenheim II and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals

Hoffenheim II 1.55
SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.76

Total expected goals: 3.32

Hoffenheim II and SSV Jahn Regensburg attack and defence ratings

Hoffenheim II

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.13 +13%

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: result vs prediction

Hoffenheim II 5 – 1 SSV Jahn Regensburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SSV Jahn Regensburg 40.6% 2.46 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hoffenheim II34.2%
Draw25.2%
SSV Jahn Regensburg40.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.4%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1SSV Jahn Regensburg win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg stats

Hoffenheim II and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Hoffenheim II wins 0Draws 1SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02SSV Jahn RegensburgHoffenheim II3. Liga2-1
2025-12-06Hoffenheim IISSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 25.3%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.80 2.35
1xBet 2.69 3.50 2.26
Bet365 2.62 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.75 3.65 2.32
Betfair 2.60 3.75 2.20
Dafabet 2.70 3.65 2.32
Marathonbet 2.64 3.50 2.24
Pinnacle 2.75 3.68 2.32
SBO 2.51 3.32 2.22
Superbet 2.67 3.60 2.32
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.64 ▲ +0.13
X 3.60 ▼ -0.20
2 2.26 ▲ +0.03

14 snapshots recorded, from .