FC Viktoria Köln
vs
Preußen Münster
4 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | L. Zeller | ||
| 6′ | N. H. Castelle | ||
| 12′ | D. Otto | ||
| 15′ | L. M. Wolf | ||
| 20′ | F. Higl | ||
| 35′ | N. Varelmann | ||
| 43′ | D. Otto | ||
| 46′ | M. SponselV. Boboy | ||
| 46′ | L. ZellerT. Paetow | ||
| 49′ | A. Tikvic | ||
| 57′ | T. Paetow | ||
| 62′ | Y. TonyeP. Fallmann | ||
| 62′ | N. H. CastelleN. Maboulou | ||
| 62′ | W. AdehM. Ndikom | ||
| 62′ | N. VarelmannS. Althaus | ||
| 69′ | T. Duman | ||
| 75′ | T. DumanN. Jahn | ||
| 75′ | R. JohanssonL. Tasov | ||
| 75′ | R. PreissingerM. Schulz | ||
| 86′ | N. Jahn | ||
| 86′ | K. JakobM. Pledl | ||
| 89′ | N. Maboulou |
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster
| Probability | FC Viktoria Köln | Draw | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 24.6% | 26.1% |
| Market | 40.0% | 25.0% | 34.9% |
| Final | 42.3% | 24.9% | 32.7% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -0.4% | -8.8% |
Why FC Viktoria Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Viktoria Köln and Preußen Münster expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
FC Viktoria Köln and Preußen Münster attack and defence ratings
FC Viktoria Köln
Preußen Münster
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster: result vs prediction
FC Viktoria Köln 4 – 1 Preußen Münster
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
- Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen
- Verl v Fortuna Köln — match page
- Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock
Before and after this match
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 42.3% | 2.36 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 42.3% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Preußen Münster | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% |
| No | 37.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster stats
FC Viktoria Köln and Preußen Münster recent form
| FC Viktoria Köln |
DWLDLW |
| Preußen Münster |
LDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 25.0%, away 34.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.62 | 2.59 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.62 | 2.59 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .