3. Liga · ·Matchday 13

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II

Garuda Lions Prediction: Hoffenheim II

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hoffenheim II is the favourite, not a value bet.

Flyeralarm Arena, WuerzburgReferee: Franziska Wildfeuer

Würzburger Kickers 33%
Draw 25%
Hoffenheim II 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Hoffenheim II wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
66%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWürzburger KickersDrawHoffenheim II
Model37.4%25.1%37.5%
Market31.9%24.6%43.5%
Final33.3%24.7%42.0%
Edge+1.4%+0.1%-1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 42.0% × 2.20 − 1).

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II match preview

Würzburger Kickers will face Hoffenheim II in a 3. Liga matchup, with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the outcome are 33% for a Würzburger Kickers win, 24% for a draw, and 43% for a Hoffenheim II victory. Both teams are expected to score, with a likelihood of 66%, and the model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Hoffenheim II.

In terms of expected goals, both teams are projected to score 1.65 each. Würzburger Kickers' recent form shows a mixed bag with a record of W-L-W-D-L-L, while Hoffenheim II has had a challenging run with L-L-W-L-L-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Würzburger Kic ↓ / Hoffenheim II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Würzburger Kickers and Hoffenheim II expected goals

Würzburger Kickers 1.65
Hoffenheim II 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.30

Würzburger Kickers and Hoffenheim II attack and defence ratings

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Hoffenheim II

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoffenheim II 42.0% 2.38 -1.5% 2.20
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Würzburger Kickers33.3%
Draw24.7%
Hoffenheim II42.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.0%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)66.7%
Handicap -1Hoffenheim II win19.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
1-28.3%
2-18.3%

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II stats

Würzburger Kickers and Hoffenheim II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Würzburger Kickers and Hoffenheim II season so far

league record

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hoffenheim II record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 24.6%, away 43.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.92 3.66 2.04
Bet365 2.75 3.60 2.10
BetVictor 2.55 3.30 2.00
Betano 2.85 3.75 2.20
Betfair 2.80 3.75 2.05
Dafabet 2.85 3.70 2.17
Marathonbet 2.85 3.66 2.02
Pinnacle 2.92 3.85 2.18
SBO 2.61 3.34 2.05
William Hill 2.80 3.50 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.83 ▼ -0.07
X 3.66 ▼ -0.09
2 2.08 ▲ +0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Hoffenheim II Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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