SV Meppen
vs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Meppen
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SV Meppen is the favourite, not a value bet.
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Probability | SV Meppen | Draw | SSV Jahn Regensburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| Market | 42.0% | 24.4% | 33.6% |
| Final | 42.1% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +1.0% | -1.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (our 42.1% × 2.25 − 1).
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg match preview
SV Meppen faces SSV Jahn Regensburg in a 3. Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, SV Meppen has a 43% probability of winning, while SSV Jahn Regensburg stands at 29%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The expected goals for SV Meppen is 1.46 compared to 1.17 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, indicating a slight advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, SV Meppen has recorded a sequence of draws and wins, with their latest results being D-W-D-W-D-L. SSV Jahn Regensburg has a mixed recent performance, showing W-L-D-D-W-D. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 9% likelihood, while there is a 54% chance that both teams will score and a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg attack and defence ratings
SV Meppen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- Stuttgart II vs Verl
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Before and after this match
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 42.1% | 2.37 | +0.2% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 42.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.0% |
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg stats
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form
| SV Meppen |
DWDWDL |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg |
WLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg season so far
SV Meppen record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 24.4%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.70 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.98 | 2.81 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.40 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .