SV Wehen
vs
Havelse
Garuda Lions Prediction: SV Wehen
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.16.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SV Wehen is the favourite, not a value bet.
SV Wehen vs Havelse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Wehen vs Havelse
| Probability | SV Wehen | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% |
| Market | 66.5% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| Final | 68.5% | 17.7% | 13.8% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% |
Why SV Wehen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 68.5% × 1.42 − 1).
SV Wehen vs Havelse match preview
SV Wehen enters this match against Havelse with a strong probability of winning at 74%, while Havelse has an 11% chance of victory. The expected goals for SV Wehen stand at 3.03, compared to Havelse's 1.16, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. Recent form shows SV Wehen winning three of their last five matches, while Havelse has struggled, with only one win in their last six games.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-1 in favor of SV Wehen, with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 66%. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one win, highlighting a competitive aspect to their head-to-head history.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Wehen and Havelse expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.19
SV Wehen and Havelse attack and defence ratings
SV Wehen
Havelse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
- Stuttgart II vs Verl
Before and after this match
SV Wehen vs Havelse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 68.5% | 1.46 | +1.9% | 1.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 68.5% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Havelse | 13.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win | 55.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 25.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-0 | 7.0% |
SV Wehen vs Havelse stats
SV Wehen and Havelse recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Wehen and Havelse season so far
SV Wehen record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Havelse record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SV Wehen vs Havelse head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SV Wehen | Havelse | 3. Liga | 1-4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Havelse | SV Wehen | 3. Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-01-26 | Havelse | SV Wehen | 3. Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-22 | SV Wehen | Havelse | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SV Wehen vs Havelse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 18.7%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.85 | 6.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.85 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.31 | 6.62 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.28 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .