Havelse
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Ingolstadt 04
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.38.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04
| Probability | Havelse | Draw | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 22.2% | 54.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 22.2% | 54.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Ingolstadt 04
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 match preview
Havelse faces FC Ingolstadt 04 in a 3. Liga matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Havelse has a 23% chance of winning, while FC Ingolstadt 04 is favored with a 54% probability. The expected goals for Havelse is 1.38, compared to 2.17 for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Havelse has struggled with a record of D-D-L-L-L-D, while FC Ingolstadt 04 has shown better performance with W-W-W-L-L-L. The model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with a 69% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 67% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.55
Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04 attack and defence ratings
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Havelse | 23.2% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 54.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Ingolstadt 04 win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 6.8% |
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 stats
Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04 recent form
| Havelse |
DDLLLD |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04 season so far
Havelse record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Ingolstadt 04 record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Havelse | 3. Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-17 | Havelse | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 2-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.