Beşiktaş
vs
Crystal Palace
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beşiktaş
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
| Probability | Beşiktaş | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.7% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.7% | 19.6% | 16.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Beşiktaş
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace match preview
Beşiktaş is set to face Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League, with a strong probability of winning at 64%, compared to Crystal Palace's 17%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 2.46 for Beşiktaş and 1.22 for Crystal Palace. The match is anticipated to feature over 2.5 goals at a rate of 71%, and both teams are expected to score 65% of the time.
Recent form shows Beşiktaş with a mixed record of L-W-W-W-W-L, while Crystal Palace has a slightly more stable performance with D-W-L-W-W-L. This context, combined with the confidence grade of B from our model, suggests a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace attack and defence ratings
Beşiktaş
Crystal Palace
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 63.7% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Crystal Palace | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 42.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 36.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 7.6% |
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace stats
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace recent form
| Beşiktaş |
LWWWWL |
| Crystal Palace |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace season so far
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.