UEFA Europa League
·
Full time
·League Stage - 3
Beşiktaş
vs
Crystal Palace
2 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Wilfred Ndidi | ||
| 39′ | Fabio MirettiSalih Özcan | ||
| 45′ | Yeremy Pino | ||
| 45′ | Wilfred Ndidi | ||
| 51′ | Yeremy Pino | ||
| 55′ | Jean-Philippe Mateta | ||
| 61′ | Dwight McNeilIsmaila Sarr | ||
| 61′ | Jean-Philippe MatetaJörgen Strand Larsen | ||
| 64′ | Kartal Kayra YılmazJunior Olaitan | ||
| 64′ | Taylan BulutAmir Murillo | ||
| 66′ | Umit Akdag | ||
| 72′ | Yeremy PinoDario Osorio | ||
| 73′ | Junior Olaitan | ||
| 75′ | Oh Hyeon-gyuDušan Vlahović | ||
| 75′ | Ilhan FakiliVáclav Černý | ||
| 77′ | Umit Akdag | ||
| 85′ | Jörgen Strand LarsenEddie Nketiah |
Beşiktaş
49%
Draw
23%
Crystal Palace
28%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 428 | Accurate passes | 261 |
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
| Probability | Beşiktaş | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| Market | 42.7% | 25.2% | 32.1% |
| Final | 49.2% | 23.0% | 27.7% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -2.1% | -4.4% |
Why Beşiktaş
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Beşiktaş below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
79%
No goals
2%
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace expected goals
Beşiktaş
2.88
Crystal Palace
1.35
Total expected goals: 4.23
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace attack and defence ratings
Beşiktaş
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Crystal Palace
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: result vs prediction
Beşiktaş 2 – 2 Crystal Palace
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
Before and after this match
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 49.2% | 2.03 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 49.2% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Crystal Palace | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.5% |
| No | 29.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 49.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.2% |
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace stats
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace recent form
| Beşiktaş |
LWWLWW |
| Crystal Palace |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace going into this match
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 25.2%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.84 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.78 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.78 | 3.04 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.28 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.23 ▲ +0.08
X
3.78 ▲ +0.06
2
2.96 ▼ -0.14
12 snapshots recorded, from .