La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

1 – 1 Full time

1′Kiko Femenia
11′Álvaro García
16′Dakonam Ortega Djené
28′Dakonam Ortega Djené
32′Ramón TerratsAbdel Abqar
45′Ivan Balliu
45′Kiko FemeniaFrancho Serrano Gracia
45′Mario Martín RielvesAndrés García
51′Francho Serrano Gracia
56′Martin Satriano
59′Isi PalazónÓscar Valentín
59′Ivan BalliuPedro Díaz
65′Jorge De FrutosGeorgiy Tsitaishvili
69′Pathé Ciss
79′Daniel Carvajal
80′Álvaro GarcíaAlexandre Zurawski
80′Daniel CarvajalJuan Sebastian Boselli Graf
80′Unai LópezFrancisco Pérez Martínez
84′Enes Ünal
87′Enes ÜnalBorja Mayoral
87′Nemanja Gudelj
90′Sergio Camello

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, GetafeReferee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Getafe 33%
Draw 32%
Rayo Vallecano 35%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
32 Possession % 68
8 Corners 8
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
181 Accurate passes 521

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGetafeDrawRayo Vallecano
Model38.5%31.9%29.6%
Market31.2%32.6%36.3%
Final33.0%32.4%34.6%
Edge+1.8%-0.2%-1.7%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Rayo Vallecano

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Getafe ↓ / Rayo Vallecano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 8% 15% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 11%

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano expected goals

Getafe 1.28
Rayo Vallecano 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.44

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano attack and defence ratings

Getafe

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Rayo Vallecano

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: result vs prediction

Getafe 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rayo Vallecano 34.6% 2.89 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.2% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.3% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 67.6% 1.48 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.4% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Getafe33.0%
Draw32.4%
Rayo Vallecano34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.8%
Under 2.554.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.3%
No46.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)67.6%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Rayo Vallecano win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss70.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-115.3%
0-010.7%
2-18.6%

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano stats

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano recent form

newest first
Getafe DLWLDD
Rayo Vallecano DWLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano going into this match

league record before kick-off

Getafe record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Rayo Vallecano record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Getafe wins 6Draws 4Rayo Vallecano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03GetafeRayo VallecanoLa Liga0-2
2026-01-02Rayo VallecanoGetafeLa Liga1-1
2025-05-02Rayo VallecanoGetafeLa Liga1-0
2024-08-24GetafeRayo VallecanoLa Liga0-0
2024-04-13Rayo VallecanoGetafeLa Liga0-0
2024-01-02GetafeRayo VallecanoLa Liga0-2
2023-02-12GetafeRayo VallecanoLa Liga1-1
2022-10-14Rayo VallecanoGetafeLa Liga0-0
2022-05-08GetafeRayo VallecanoLa Liga0-0
2021-09-18Rayo VallecanoGetafeLa Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 32.2%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.13 3.09 2.68
Bet365 3.00 2.90 2.62
BetVictor 3.00 3.00 2.60
Betano 3.05 2.92 2.62
Betfair 3.10 2.88 2.70
Dafabet 2.95 3.05 2.70
Marathonbet 3.08 3.04 2.64
Pinnacle 3.17 2.94 2.69
SBO 2.92 2.84 2.59
William Hill 2.90 2.90 2.50
pinnacle 2.71 3.10 2.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▲ +0.34
X 2.92 ▼ -0.18
2 2.62 ▲ +0.18

33 snapshots recorded, from .