Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

AF Elbasani vs Vora

1 – 1 Full time

22′A. Mazari
45′B. Karrica
46′K. DionellisJ. Vrapi
52′K. Dalipi
58′L. Frroku
64′H. Zuna
68′R. HebajK. Kasa
74′B. GjylaF. Hasaj
74′K. HalabakuD. Daka
75′J. Vrapi
79′Y. EpitauxK. Lleshi
79′A. NikajE. Lukoki Mateso
81′K. DalipiO. Ruci
86′Pedro ClementeD. Trajkov
87′A. Mazari
88′A. MazariI. Boye
89′B. LilaM. Wague

Elbasan Arena, Elbasani

AF Elbasani 55%
Draw 24%
Vora 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AF Elbasani vs Vora overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AF Elbasani vs Vora

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAF ElbasaniDrawVora
Model52.4%23.3%24.3%
Market56.1%24.6%19.3%
Final55.2%24.2%20.6%
Edge-0.9%-0.3%+1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AF Elbasani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.35.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AF Elbasani ↓ / Vora → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

AF Elbasani and Vora expected goals

AF Elbasani 2.04
Vora 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.39

AF Elbasani and Vora attack and defence ratings

AF Elbasani

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Vora

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AF Elbasani vs Vora: result vs prediction

AF Elbasani 1 – 1 Vora

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

AF Elbasani vs Vora markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AF Elbasani 55.2% 1.81 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.4% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.6% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AF Elbasani55.2%
Draw24.2%
Vora20.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.8%
Under 2.534.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.4%
No34.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.4%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)44.8%
Handicap -1AF Elbasani win31.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss47.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-19.5%
2-07.0%

AF Elbasani vs Vora stats

AF Elbasani and Vora recent form

newest first
AF Elbasani DWLDDD
Vora DLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AF Elbasani and Vora going into this match

league record before kick-off

AF Elbasani record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Vora record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AF Elbasani vs Vora head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4AF Elbasani wins 1Draws 3Vora wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02VoraAF ElbasaniAlbania Superliga4-2
2026-02-21AF ElbasaniVoraAlbania Superliga2-1
2025-12-13VoraAF ElbasaniAlbania Superliga0-1
2025-10-19AF ElbasaniVoraAlbania Superliga1-2
2024-04-29AF ElbasaniVora1st Division2-0
2023-11-27VoraAF Elbasani1st Division1-1
2023-09-14AF ElbasaniVora1st Division3-2
2023-05-11VoraAF Elbasani2nd Division - Play-offs2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AF Elbasani vs Vora odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 24.6%, away 19.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.58 3.72 4.82
Bet365 1.65 3.60 4.50
Betano 1.65 3.65 4.40
Betfair 1.57 3.80 4.75
Dafabet 1.63 3.70 4.60
Marathonbet 1.56 3.72 4.70
William Hill 1.62 3.50 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.12
X 3.70 ▼ -0.05
2 4.70 ▼ -0.80

2 snapshots recorded, from .