AF Elbasani
vs
Vora
Garuda Lions Prediction: AF Elbasani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
AF Elbasani vs Vora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AF Elbasani vs Vora
| Probability | AF Elbasani | Draw | Vora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.4% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.4% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AF Elbasani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.35.
AF Elbasani vs Vora match preview
AF Elbasani faces Vora in the Albania Superliga on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 52% probability of an AF Elbasani victory, while Vora has a 24% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from AF Elbasani at 2.04, compared to Vora's 1.35. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of AF Elbasani, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, AF Elbasani has recorded a series of draws and one win, while Vora has had mixed results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 66%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 65%. Historically, the last four encounters show an even split, with each team winning twice.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AF Elbasani and Vora expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
AF Elbasani and Vora attack and defence ratings
AF Elbasani
Vora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AF Elbasani vs Vora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 52.4% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Vora | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
AF Elbasani vs Vora stats
AF Elbasani and Vora recent form
| AF Elbasani |
DWLDDD |
| Vora |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AF Elbasani and Vora season so far
AF Elbasani record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Vora record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AF Elbasani vs Vora head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Vora | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 4-2 |
| 2026-02-21 | AF Elbasani | Vora | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vora | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | AF Elbasani | Vora | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-29 | AF Elbasani | Vora | 1st Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-27 | Vora | AF Elbasani | 1st Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-14 | AF Elbasani | Vora | 1st Division | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-11 | Vora | AF Elbasani | 2nd Division - Play-offs | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.