Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce

2 – 0 Full time

3′V. Zogos
16′S. Kallaku
32′P. Martelo
35′B. Charles
42′S. Kallaku
46′S. NasrVictor Braga
46′A. DialloL. Lleshi
46′K. GrazhdaniK. Shaqe
46′G. LagonidisE. Zenullari
63′P. MarteloM. A. Umejiego
69′A. Jazxhi
74′M. Boci
74′O. Drame
77′K. VangjeliN. Velichkovski
84′E. MalaF. Pergjoni
84′S. KallakuG. Bajrami
90′A. JazxhiI. Kukleci

Stadiumi Niko Dovana

Teuta Durrës 60%
Draw 25%
Skenderbeu Korce 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTeuta DurrësDrawSkenderbeu Korce
Model61.6%24.9%13.4%
Market60.0%25.0%15.0%
Final60.4%25.0%14.6%
Edge+0.4%-0.0%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Teuta Durrës

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.70.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Teuta Durrës ↓ / Skenderbeu Kor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 14% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce expected goals

Teuta Durrës 1.76
Skenderbeu Korce 0.70

Total expected goals: 2.46

Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce attack and defence ratings

Teuta Durrës

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Skenderbeu Korce

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce: result vs prediction

Teuta Durrës 2 – 0 Skenderbeu Korce

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Teuta Durrës 60.4% 1.66 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.4% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.4% 2.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Teuta Durrës60.4%
Draw25.0%
Skenderbeu Korce14.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.4%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)39.6%
Handicap -1Teuta Durrës win36.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss38.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.0%
2-013.2%
1-111.6%

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce stats

Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce going into this match

league record before kick-off

Teuta Durrës record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Skenderbeu Korce record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Teuta Durrës wins 2Draws 2Skenderbeu Korce wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-27Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga1-0
2025-01-25Skenderbeu KorceTeuta DurrësSuperliga2-1
2024-11-09Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga1-1
2024-09-11Skenderbeu KorceTeuta DurrësSuperliga2-3
2024-04-13Skenderbeu KorceTeuta DurrësSuperliga0-1
2024-02-03Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga3-0
2024-01-24Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu KorceCup2-0
2023-11-24Skenderbeu KorceTeuta DurrësSuperliga3-1
2023-09-19Teuta DurrësSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga1-0
2022-05-26Skenderbeu KorceTeuta DurrësSuperliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 25.0%, away 15.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 3.64 6.32
Bet365 1.53 3.50 5.75
Betano 1.55 3.50 5.70
Betfair 1.44 3.80 6.00
Dafabet 1.53 3.60 5.80
Marathonbet 1.47 3.64 6.00
William Hill 1.50 3.60 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 —
X 3.60 ▲ +0.10
2 6.00 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .