Teuta Durrës
vs
Skenderbeu Korce
Garuda Lions Prediction: Teuta Durrës
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce
| Probability | Teuta Durrës | Draw | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.6% | 24.9% | 13.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.6% | 24.9% | 13.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Teuta Durrës
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce match preview
Teuta Durrës enters the match against Skenderbeu Korce with a strong recent form, having won four of their last six matches, along with one draw. They have an expected goals tally of 1.76, suggesting a solid offensive performance. The model probabilities indicate a 62% chance of a Teuta Durrës victory, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 14%.
In contrast, Skenderbeu Korce has struggled, managing only two draws and four losses in their last six outings. Their expected goals stand at just 0.70, reflecting difficulties in creating scoring opportunities. The probabilities show a 25% chance of a draw and only a 13% likelihood of a Skenderbeu Korce win, highlighting the challenges they face in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce attack and defence ratings
Teuta Durrës
Skenderbeu Korce
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 61.6% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.8% |
| No | 57.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win | 36.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 2-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce stats
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce recent form
| Teuta Durrës |
WWWWDW |
| Skenderbeu Korce |
DDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce season so far
Teuta Durrës record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Skenderbeu Korce record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | Teuta Durrës | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Skenderbeu Korce | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Teuta Durrës | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-11 | Skenderbeu Korce | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2024-04-13 | Skenderbeu Korce | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Teuta Durrës | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-24 | Teuta Durrës | Skenderbeu Korce | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Skenderbeu Korce | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-19 | Teuta Durrës | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-26 | Skenderbeu Korce | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.