Skenderbeu Korce
vs
Tirana
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | B. Ndong | ||
| 46′ | S. NasrE. Totre | ||
| 46′ | K. GrazhdaniK. Shaqe | ||
| 46′ | B. BerishaP. Myslovic | ||
| 47′ | P. Stanic | ||
| 51′ | K. Shaqe | ||
| 57′ | B. NdongH. H. Fresneda | ||
| 70′ | S. VogliF. Alvarez | ||
| 70′ | T. KisE. Daci | ||
| 70′ | A. DialloN. Velichkovski | ||
| 70′ | K. VangjeliL. Lleshi | ||
| 74′ | B. Musa | ||
| 78′ | J. Colley | ||
| 83′ | R. XhixhaL. Vitija | ||
| 86′ | D. Hazrollaj | ||
| 90′ | A. SeydiM. Doda | ||
| 90′ | M. Doda |
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana
| Probability | Skenderbeu Korce | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.7% | 27.2% | 45.1% |
| Market | 29.5% | 28.7% | 41.8% |
| Final | 29.0% | 28.3% | 42.7% |
| Edge | -1.8% | -1.4% | +3.2% |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Tirana below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Skenderbeu Korce and Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Skenderbeu Korce and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Skenderbeu Korce
Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana: result vs prediction
Skenderbeu Korce 1 – 1 Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 42.7% | 2.34 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 29.0% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Tirana | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana stats
Skenderbeu Korce and Tirana recent form
| Skenderbeu Korce |
LLD |
| Tirana |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Tirana | Skenderbeu Korce | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Skenderbeu Korce | Tirana | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Tirana | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-05 | Skenderbeu Korce | Tirana | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Tirana | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-08 | Skenderbeu Korce | Tirana | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Tirana | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 3-4 |
| 2023-11-05 | Skenderbeu Korce | Tirana | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-14 | Tirana | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Skenderbeu Korce | Tirana | Superliga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Tirana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 28.7%, away 41.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.14 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.10 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.20 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.12 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97 | 3.16 | 2.12 |
| Superbet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .