Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad

1 – 7 Full time

Eidsvold IF 26%
Draw 29%
Fredrikstad 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEidsvold IFDrawFredrikstad
Model26.3%29.0%44.7%
Market———
Final26.3%29.0%44.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Fredrikstad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eidsvold IF ↓ / Fredrikstad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Eidsvold IF and Fredrikstad expected goals

Eidsvold IF 1.11
Fredrikstad 1.52

Total expected goals: 2.63

Eidsvold IF and Fredrikstad attack and defence ratings

Eidsvold IF

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Fredrikstad

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad: result vs prediction

Eidsvold IF 1 – 7 Fredrikstad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fredrikstad 44.7% 2.24 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eidsvold IF26.3%
Draw29.0%
Fredrikstad44.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.8%
No49.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.3%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)73.7%
Handicap -1Fredrikstad win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-110.7%
0-09.6%

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad stats

Eidsvold IF and Fredrikstad recent form

newest first
Eidsvold IF no matches on record
Fredrikstad WWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eidsvold IF vs Fredrikstad odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.