Brighton
vs
Tromso
4 – 0 Full time
Brighton vs Tromso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brighton vs Tromso
| Probability | Brighton | Draw | Tromso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 25.9% | 34.1% |
| Market | 81.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| Final | 70.8% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
| Edge | -41.1% | +13.2% | +27.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brighton and Tromso expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Brighton and Tromso attack and defence ratings
Brighton
Tromso
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brighton vs Tromso: result vs prediction
Brighton 4 – 0 Tromso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Brighton vs Tromso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brighton | 70.8% | 1.41 | -41.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brighton | 70.8% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Tromso | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brighton win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Brighton vs Tromso stats
Brighton vs Tromso head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Tromso | Brighton | UEFA Europa Conference League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brighton vs Tromso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.1%, draw 12.7%, away 6.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.15 | 7.10 | 18.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 8.45 | 18.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 6.25 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 7.80 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 7.00 | 14.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 7.33 | 13.31 |
| SBO | 1.14 | 6.28 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.17 | 7.20 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.12 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .