Ulfstind vs Tromso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulfstind vs Tromso
| Probability | Ulfstind | Draw | Tromso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.6% | 14.8% | 72.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 12.6% | 14.8% | 72.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tromso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.26 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
1%
Ulfstind and Tromso expected goals
Ulfstind
1.30
Tromso
3.26
Total expected goals: 4.56
Ulfstind and Tromso attack and defence ratings
Ulfstind
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Tromso
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ulfstind vs Tromso: result vs prediction
Ulfstind 0 – 5 Tromso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulfstind vs Tromso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulfstind | 12.6% |
| Draw | 14.8% | |
| Tromso | 72.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win | 57.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 25.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.8% |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | |
| 1-4 | 6.2% |