Garuda Lions
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Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 3

Araz vs Sabah FA

0 – 1 Full time

49′O. Mbina
68′K. ParrisJ. Mickels
68′C. NwachukwuV. Simic
68′T. MutallimovJunior Almeida
80′A. IsayevY. Lachaab
85′R. MuradovBruno Franco
85′A. SudiA. Fernandez
90′M. AhmadzadaM. Kane
90′C. NuriyevC. Boli
90′O. MbinaR. Fernandes

Gabala City Stadium, GabalaReferee: R. Hamzazade

Araz 13%
Draw 20%
Sabah FA 67%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Araz vs Sabah FA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Araz vs Sabah FA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArazDrawSabah FA
Model9.2%16.6%74.2%
Market14.0%21.0%65.0%
Final12.8%19.9%67.3%
Edge-4.8%-4.4%+9.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Sabah FA

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sabah FA below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Araz ↓ / Sabah FA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 9% 11% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Araz and Sabah FA expected goals

Araz 0.84
Sabah FA 2.58

Total expected goals: 3.42

Araz and Sabah FA attack and defence ratings

Araz

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Sabah FA

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Araz vs Sabah FA: result vs prediction

Araz 0 – 1 Sabah FA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Araz vs Sabah FA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabah FA 67.3% 1.49 +9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.2% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Sabah FA win 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Araz12.8%
Draw19.9%
Sabah FA67.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.2%
No46.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.7%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)87.2%
Handicap -1Sabah FA win53.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss25.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.9%
0-39.4%
1-29.1%

Araz vs Sabah FA stats

Araz and Sabah FA recent form

newest first
Araz LDWWLL
Sabah FA WLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Araz vs Sabah FA head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Araz wins 4Draws 5Sabah FA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-07ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa2-4
2026-02-08Sabah FAArazPremyer Liqa4-1
2025-10-25ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa2-2
2025-05-03ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa1-1
2025-03-04Sabah FAArazPremyer Liqa2-2
2024-12-14ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa0-1
2024-10-05Sabah FAArazPremyer Liqa1-1
2024-05-05ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa0-1
2024-03-02Sabah FAArazPremyer Liqa2-0
2023-12-15ArazSabah FAPremyer Liqa2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Araz vs Sabah FA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.0%, draw 21.0%, away 65.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 6.60 4.33 1.40
1xBet 7.41 4.33 1.36
Bet365 6.50 4.10 1.40
Betfair 6.50 4.40 1.36
Marathonbet 7.00 4.35 1.35
SBO 6.09 4.17 1.34
Superbet 6.30 4.55 1.40
Unibet 5.40 3.90 1.44
William Hill 7.00 4.00 1.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.