Kapaz vs Turan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kapaz vs Turan
| Probability | Kapaz | Draw | Turan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.9% | 30.9% | 52.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.9% | 30.9% | 52.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Turan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.65.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Kapaz and Turan expected goals
Kapaz
0.65
Turan
1.34
Total expected goals: 1.99
Kapaz and Turan attack and defence ratings
Kapaz
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Turan
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kapaz vs Turan: result vs prediction
Kapaz 1 – 0 Turan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kapaz vs Turan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kapaz | 16.9% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Turan | 52.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.3% |
| No | 63.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turan win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 17.2% |
| 0-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Kapaz vs Turan stats
Kapaz vs Turan head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Kapaz wins
1Draws
2Turan wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Kapaz | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Kapaz | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Turan | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.