Turan
vs
Şamaxı FK
0 – 0 Full time
Turan vs Şamaxı FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Turan vs Şamaxı FK
| Probability | Turan | Draw | Şamaxı FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 24.9% | 15.2% |
| Market | 59.1% | 25.3% | 15.7% |
| Final | 59.3% | 25.2% | 15.6% |
| Edge | +0.8% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
Why Turan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Turan and Şamaxı FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Turan and Şamaxı FK attack and defence ratings
Turan
Şamaxı FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Turan vs Şamaxı FK: result vs prediction
Turan 0 – 0 Şamaxı FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Turan vs Şamaxı FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 59.3% | 1.69 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 59.3% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Şamaxı FK | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turan win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.4% |
| 2-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Turan vs Şamaxı FK stats
Turan vs Şamaxı FK head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Şamaxı FK | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Şamaxı FK | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Turan | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Turan vs Şamaxı FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 25.3%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 3.64 | 5.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.55 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 3.74 | 5.85 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.44 | 5.13 |
| Superbet | 1.56 | 3.75 | 5.45 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.40 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .