Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 2

Zira vs Imisli FK

3 – 1 Full time

Zira Stadium, ZiraReferee: A. Aliyev

Zira 62%
Draw 25%
Imisli FK 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zira vs Imisli FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zira vs Imisli FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZiraDrawImisli FK
Model60.2%29.6%10.3%
Market62.3%23.8%13.9%
Final61.8%25.2%13.0%
Edge-2.2%+5.8%-3.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Zira

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.42.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zira ↓ / Imisli FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 22% 2 16% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Zira and Imisli FK expected goals

Zira 1.38
Imisli FK 0.42

Total expected goals: 1.80

Zira and Imisli FK attack and defence ratings

Zira

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Imisli FK

Attack 0.47 -53%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zira vs Imisli FK: result vs prediction

Zira 3 – 1 Imisli FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Zira vs Imisli FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zira 61.8% 1.62 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.0% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.9% 2.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zira61.8%
Draw25.2%
Imisli FK13.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.8%
Under 2.573.2%
Both teams to scoreYes26.6%
No73.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.0%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)38.2%
Handicap -1Zira win31.0%
Push (exactly one goal)29.1%
Loss39.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-021.9%
0-017.5%
2-015.7%

Zira vs Imisli FK stats

Zira and Imisli FK recent form

newest first
Zira WDLWWL
Imisli FK DDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zira vs Imisli FK head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Zira wins 3Draws 0Imisli FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08Imisli FKZiraPremyer Liqa0-0
2025-12-20ZiraImisli FKPremyer Liqa0-0
2025-09-26Imisli FKZiraPremyer Liqa1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zira vs Imisli FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 23.9%, away 13.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.45 3.75 7.00
1xBet 1.43 3.82 7.11
888Sport 1.44 3.50 7.00
Bet365 1.48 3.60 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 3.80 7.00
Betano 1.50 3.80 6.40
Betfair 1.44 3.80 6.50
Dafabet 1.46 3.85 6.40
Marathonbet 1.42 3.80 6.85
Pinnacle 1.49 3.82 6.86
SBO 1.44 3.55 5.80
Superbet 1.48 3.85 6.30
Unibet 1.46 3.55 5.80
William Hill 1.44 3.50 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.45 ▲ +0.01
X 3.80 ▲ +0.02
2 6.50 ▼ -0.22

2 snapshots recorded, from .