Garuda Lions
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Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 3

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK

0 – 0 Full time

Referee: N. Ismayilli

Qabala 46%
Draw 31%
Şamaxı FK 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qabala vs Şamaxı FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQabalaDrawŞamaxı FK
Model46.5%31.2%22.3%
Market———
Final46.5%31.2%22.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Qabala

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qabala ↓ / Şamaxı FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Qabala and Şamaxı FK expected goals

Qabala 1.30
Şamaxı FK 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.12

Qabala and Şamaxı FK attack and defence ratings

Qabala

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Şamaxı FK

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK: result vs prediction

Qabala 0 – 0 Şamaxı FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Qabala 46.5% 2.15 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.3% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.5% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qabala46.5%
Draw31.2%
Şamaxı FK22.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.7%
Under 2.564.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.1%
No57.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.7%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1Qabala win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss53.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.3%
1-114.1%
0-013.2%

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK stats

Qabala and Şamaxı FK recent form

newest first
Qabala LLWWWD
Şamaxı FK DLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Qabala wins 3Draws 1Şamaxı FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-21QabalaŞamaxı FKPremyer Liqa3-1
2026-01-24Şamaxı FKQabalaPremyer Liqa0-4
2025-10-05QabalaŞamaxı FKPremyer Liqa0-1
2023-05-22Şamaxı FKQabalaPremyer Liqa0-0
2023-03-17QabalaŞamaxı FKPremyer Liqa2-0
2022-10-14Şamaxı FKQabalaPremyer Liqa1-1
2022-08-14QabalaŞamaxı FKPremyer Liqa3-1
2022-05-15Şamaxı FKQabalaPremyer Liqa0-1
2022-04-03QabalaŞamaxı FKPremyer Liqa1-1
2021-10-24Şamaxı FKQabalaPremyer Liqa2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.