Garuda Lions
Today
Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 4

Qabala vs Imisli FK

2 – 1 Full time

15′K. Mabea
27′S. Shahniyarov
45′D. Dos Santos
46′V. QanbarovDeco
61′J. Sierra
62′F. NabiyevM. Yaw
66′K. Rossi
66′K. Rossi
69′M. Yaw
69′I. Inqilably
75′M. UbochiomaBruno Silva
85′K. RossiZ. Shakarkhanov
87′A. Salahly
87′E. AhmadovN. Aliyev

Referee: R. Jabarov

Qabala 42%
Draw 33%
Imisli FK 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Qabala vs Imisli FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qabala vs Imisli FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQabalaDrawImisli FK
Model43.9%36.0%20.1%
Market41.4%31.4%27.2%
Final42.0%32.5%25.4%
Edge+2.5%+4.6%-7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Qabala

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.03 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Qabala below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qabala ↓ / Imisli FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 11% 1 19% 13% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 21%

Qabala and Imisli FK expected goals

Qabala 1.03
Imisli FK 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.64

Qabala and Imisli FK attack and defence ratings

Qabala

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Imisli FK

Attack 0.57 -43%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qabala vs Imisli FK: result vs prediction

Qabala 2 – 1 Imisli FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Qabala vs Imisli FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Qabala 42.0% 2.38 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.2% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 69.3% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.1% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qabala42.0%
Draw32.5%
Imisli FK25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.8%
Under 2.577.2%
Both teams to scoreYes30.7%
No69.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)67.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Qabala win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.8%
Loss56.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.5%
1-018.8%
1-113.4%

Qabala vs Imisli FK stats

Qabala and Imisli FK recent form

newest first
Qabala DLLWWW
Imisli FK WLDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qabala vs Imisli FK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Qabala wins 2Draws 2Imisli FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12QabalaImisli FKPremyer Liqa0-1
2026-01-30QabalaImisli FKPremyer Liqa3-2
2025-10-18Imisli FKQabalaPremyer Liqa2-2
2025-04-18Imisli FKQabalaBirinci Dasta1-0
2025-02-13Imisli FKQabalaBirinci Dasta1-2
2024-10-26QabalaImisli FKBirinci Dasta0-0
2023-12-19Imisli FKQabalaCup0-1
2017-11-29QabalaImisli FKCup8-0
2015-12-03QabalaImisli FKCup7-0
2013-12-04Imisli FKQabalaCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qabala vs Imisli FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 31.4%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 2.95 3.45
1xBet 2.11 2.81 3.69
Bet365 2.30 2.90 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.00 3.40
Betano 2.25 2.95 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.25
Dafabet 2.12 2.95 3.50
Marathonbet 2.32 2.75 3.14
Pinnacle 2.38 2.77 3.21
SBO 2.01 2.78 3.20
Superbet 2.17 2.87 3.55
William Hill 2.20 2.75 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▲ +0.19
X 2.88 ▼ -0.12
2 3.33 ▼ -0.27

5 snapshots recorded, from .