Turan
vs
Sumqayıt
2 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | R. Vasquez | ||
| 19′ | R. Vasquez | ||
| 20′ | Jo Batista | ||
| 33′ | C. Badolo | ||
| 44′ | R. Olabe | ||
| 45′ | H. Haqverdi | ||
| 60′ | J. Silva | ||
| 62′ | R. VasquezJeam | ||
| 62′ | Tiago AlmeidaN. Orucov | ||
| 72′ | H. Hurtado | ||
| 72′ | H. HaqverdiE. Mustafaev | ||
| 76′ | R. Sadykhov | ||
| 76′ | E. Suliman | ||
| 78′ | D. TavaresA. Serrano | ||
| 78′ | D. BalauI. Wadji | ||
| 78′ | N. AhmadzadaA. Jankovic | ||
| 78′ | KeffelV. Pashayev | ||
| 84′ | Jo BatistaS. Beusnard | ||
| 90′ | A. Kenyaykin | ||
| 90′ | R. SadykhovR. Mammadov |
Turan vs Sumqayıt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Turan vs Sumqayıt
| Probability | Turan | Draw | Sumqayıt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.2% | 28.0% | 20.8% |
| Market | 54.1% | 27.1% | 18.8% |
| Final | 53.4% | 27.3% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
Why Turan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Turan and Sumqayıt expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Turan and Sumqayıt attack and defence ratings
Turan
Sumqayıt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Turan vs Sumqayıt: result vs prediction
Turan 2 – 1 Sumqayıt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Turan vs Sumqayıt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 53.4% | 1.87 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 53.4% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Sumqayıt | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turan win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.3% |
Turan vs Sumqayıt stats
Turan vs Sumqayıt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Sumqayıt | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-17 | Sumqayıt | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-20 | Sumqayıt | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 2-4 |
| 2024-08-11 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-4 |
| 2024-02-18 | Sumqayıt | Turan | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2023-12-02 | Turan | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Turan vs Sumqayıt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 27.1%, away 18.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.34 | 4.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.38 | 4.73 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.25 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .