Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 5

Araz vs Turan

2 – 2 Full time

7′E. Hackman
26′M. Mara
46′R. SadykhovI. Wadji
46′F. HaciyevD. Marandici
51′I. Wadji
66′P. AndradeA. Fernandez
69′O. Buludov
73′E. HackmanR. Mammadov
73′D. BalauA. Jankovic
73′R. OlabeS. Beusnard
73′M. AhmadzadaC. Nuriyev
73′R. MuradovC. Boli
75′Jo Batista
81′A. Kenyaykin
87′A. Salyanskiy
90′M. Kane
90′M. MaraU. Iskandarov

Shamakhi City Stadium, ShamakhiReferee: E. Masiyev

Araz 18%
Draw 27%
Turan 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Araz vs Turan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Araz vs Turan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArazDrawTuran
Model19.9%26.8%53.3%
Market18.0%26.5%55.5%
Final18.5%26.6%55.0%
Edge+1.9%+0.4%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Turan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.92.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Araz ↓ / Turan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 10% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Araz and Turan expected goals

Araz 0.92
Turan 1.65

Total expected goals: 2.57

Araz and Turan attack and defence ratings

Araz

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Turan

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Araz vs Turan: result vs prediction

Araz 2 – 2 Turan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Araz vs Turan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Turan 55.0% 1.82 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.5% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Araz18.5%
Draw26.6%
Turan55.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.9%
No50.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.0%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)81.5%
Handicap -1Turan win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss46.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-111.4%
0-210.4%

Araz vs Turan stats

Araz and Turan recent form

newest first
Araz LLLDWW
Turan WLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Araz vs Turan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Araz wins 2Draws 5Turan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17ArazTuranPremyer Liqa0-3
2025-11-22ArazTuranPremyer Liqa1-1
2025-08-24TuranArazPremyer Liqa1-2
2025-04-18ArazTuranPremyer Liqa1-1
2025-02-16TuranArazPremyer Liqa1-0
2024-11-29ArazTuranPremyer Liqa1-0
2024-09-21TuranArazPremyer Liqa1-2
2024-05-11ArazTuranPremyer Liqa0-1
2024-03-10TuranArazPremyer Liqa2-0
2023-12-24TuranArazPremyer Liqa3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Araz vs Turan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 26.5%, away 55.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.20 3.38 1.63
Bet365 5.00 3.40 1.62
Betano 5.10 3.60 1.62
Betfair 4.75 3.60 1.62
Marathonbet 5.10 3.38 1.61
Pinnacle 4.95 3.42 1.67
SBO 4.69 3.40 1.52
William Hill 5.00 3.25 1.67

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▼ -0.32
X 3.40 ▼ -0.06
2 1.62 ▲ +0.03

5 snapshots recorded, from .