Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 6

Turan vs Zira

1 – 0 Full time

11′Ruan Renato
55′D. Marandici
61′A. GuseynovG. Papunashvili
61′I. DjibrillaD. Volkovi
72′D. BalauA. Jankovic
72′R. MillerR. Mammadov
84′I. IbrahimliH. Hacyly
89′I. WadjiD. Tavares
90′A. SerranoR. Sadykhov
90′H. Hacyly
90′A. Seydiyev
90′F. Damjanovic
90′Q. Aliyev

Referee: R. Hamzazade

Turan 38%
Draw 32%
Zira 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Turan vs Zira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Turan vs Zira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTuranDrawZira
Model36.9%29.9%33.2%
Market38.2%32.8%29.1%
Final37.9%32.0%30.1%
Edge-1.2%-2.9%+4.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Turan ↓ / Zira → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Turan and Zira expected goals

Turan 1.26
Zira 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.45

Turan and Zira attack and defence ratings

Turan

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Zira

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Turan vs Zira: result vs prediction

Turan 1 – 0 Zira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Turan vs Zira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Turan 37.9% 2.64 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.1% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Turan37.9%
Draw32.0%
Zira30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.3%
Under 2.555.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.1%
Handicap -1Turan win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss63.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.9%
1-09.6%

Turan vs Zira stats

Turan and Zira recent form

newest first
Turan DWLDWL
Zira DLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Turan and Zira going into this match

league record before kick-off

Turan record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zira record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Turan vs Zira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Turan wins 4Draws 4Zira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-27TuranZiraPremyer Liqa1-1
2026-04-21ZiraTuranCup0-0
2026-04-03TuranZiraCup0-2
2026-02-20TuranZiraPremyer Liqa2-0
2025-11-08ZiraTuranPremyer Liqa0-0
2025-05-02ZiraTuranPremyer Liqa1-0
2025-03-04TuranZiraPremyer Liqa0-2
2024-12-15ZiraTuranPremyer Liqa0-0
2024-10-06TuranZiraPremyer Liqa1-0
2024-05-05TuranZiraPremyer Liqa1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Turan vs Zira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 32.8%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.36 2.66 3.24
Bet365 2.30 2.80 3.10
BetVictor 2.38 2.90 3.00
Betano 2.37 2.90 3.10
Betfair 2.30 2.88 3.00
Marathonbet 2.34 2.66 3.14
Pinnacle 2.42 2.69 3.26
SBO 2.30 2.74 2.70
William Hill 2.40 2.75 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.36 ▼ -0.04
X 2.75 —
2 3.10 ▼ -0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .