Zira
vs
Şamaxı FK
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | R. Martins | ||
| 50′ | GuimaH. Hacyly | ||
| 53′ | A. Shuaibu | ||
| 55′ | A. Bouali | ||
| 61′ | U. CahangirovE. Adilkhanov | ||
| 68′ | A. Mutsinzi | ||
| 68′ | A. ShuaibuT. Akhvlediani | ||
| 69′ | O. MammadovO. Tahmazli | ||
| 69′ | A. SeydiyevE. Aydin | ||
| 69′ | I. IbrahimliG. Papunashvili | ||
| 76′ | A. BoualiH. Ismayilov | ||
| 87′ | E. Rustamov |
Zira vs Şamaxı FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zira vs Şamaxı FK
| Probability | Zira | Draw | Şamaxı FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 30.2% | 30.3% |
| Market | 51.7% | 27.4% | 20.9% |
| Final | 48.6% | 28.1% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +0.7% | +2.3% |
Why Zira
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zira and Şamaxı FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Zira and Şamaxı FK attack and defence ratings
Zira
Şamaxı FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zira vs Şamaxı FK: result vs prediction
Zira 1 – 1 Şamaxı FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zira vs Şamaxı FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zira | 48.6% | 2.06 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zira | 48.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Şamaxı FK | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zira win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Zira vs Şamaxı FK stats
Zira and Şamaxı FK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zira and Şamaxı FK going into this match
Zira record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Şamaxı FK record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Zira vs Şamaxı FK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Şamaxı FK | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2025-01-24 | Şamaxı FK | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-04 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Şamaxı FK | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Şamaxı FK | Zira | Premyer Liqa | 0-3 |
| 2023-03-25 | Zira | Şamaxı FK | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zira vs Şamaxı FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 27.4%, away 20.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.24 | 4.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.24 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.33 | 4.65 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .