Imisli FK
vs
Qarabag
Garuda Lions Prediction: Qarabag
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
Imisli FK vs Qarabag overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Imisli FK vs Qarabag
| Probability | Imisli FK | Draw | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.4% | 24.9% | 60.7% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 14.4% | 24.9% | 60.7% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Qarabag
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Imisli FK vs Qarabag match preview
Imisli FK faces Qarabag in the upcoming Premyer Liqa match, with model probabilities indicating a 14% chance of an Imisli FK victory, a 25% likelihood of a draw, and a 61% chance for Qarabag to win. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. The expected goals suggest Imisli FK will generate 0.76, while Qarabag is forecasted to score 1.77.
Recent form shows Imisli FK struggling with three losses in their last five matches, complemented by a win and a draw. In contrast, Qarabag has a stronger record, with four wins and a draw in their last six games. The head-to-head results further favor Qarabag, who has won all three of their recent encounters against Imisli FK.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Imisli FK and Qarabag expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Imisli FK and Qarabag attack and defence ratings
Imisli FK
Qarabag
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Imisli FK vs Qarabag markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qarabag | 60.7% | 1.65 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | 1.17 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.2% | 2.55 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Imisli FK | 14.4% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Qarabag | 60.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qarabag win | 35.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-2 | 12.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Imisli FK vs Qarabag stats
Imisli FK and Qarabag recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Imisli FK and Qarabag season so far
Imisli FK record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Imisli FK vs Qarabag head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Qarabag | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Imisli FK | Qarabag | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Qarabag | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.