Imisli FK
vs
Qarabag
0 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | J. Montiel | ||
| 59′ | O. Kashchuk | ||
| 64′ | A. SalahlyA. Eyubov | ||
| 67′ | J. MontielM. Jankovic | ||
| 67′ | M. QurbanlyZ. Sawo | ||
| 75′ | M. YawS. Faracov | ||
| 75′ | O. KashchukR. Cephas | ||
| 84′ | B. Hasanalizada | ||
| 88′ | J. Mouaddib | ||
| 90′ | J. MouaddibR. Khadra | ||
| 90′ | Pedro BicalhoS. Lobato | ||
| 90′ | R. ViegasM. Tahirov | ||
| 90′ | R. Khadra |
Imisli FK vs Qarabag overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Imisli FK vs Qarabag
| Probability | Imisli FK | Draw | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.5% | 25.0% | 60.5% |
| Market | 7.6% | 16.6% | 75.9% |
| Final | 9.3% | 18.7% | 72.0% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +2.1% | -3.8% |
Why Qarabag
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Imisli FK and Qarabag expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Imisli FK and Qarabag attack and defence ratings
Imisli FK
Qarabag
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Imisli FK vs Qarabag: result vs prediction
Imisli FK 0 – 2 Qarabag
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Imisli FK vs Qarabag markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qarabag | 72.0% | 1.39 | -3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Imisli FK | 9.3% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Qarabag | 72.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Qarabag win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.0% |
| 0-2 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Imisli FK vs Qarabag stats
Imisli FK and Qarabag recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Imisli FK and Qarabag going into this match
Imisli FK record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qarabag record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Imisli FK vs Qarabag head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Qarabag | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Imisli FK | Qarabag | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Qarabag | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Imisli FK vs Qarabag odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.6%, draw 16.6%, away 75.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.30 | 5.50 | 1.17 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.25 | 1.22 |
| BetVictor | 12.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 10.00 | 5.40 | 1.24 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | 13.25 | 5.50 | 1.16 |
| Pinnacle | 10.33 | 5.63 | 1.22 |
| William Hill | 15.00 | 5.00 | 1.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .