Garuda Lions
Today
Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 7

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA

0 – 0 Full time

Palms Sports Arena, Baku

Neftchi Baku 36%
Draw 27%
Sabah FA 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNeftchi BakuDrawSabah FA
Model41.6%23.7%34.6%
Market33.7%28.0%38.4%
Final35.7%26.9%37.4%
Edge+8.0%-4.2%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Neftchi Baku ↓ / Sabah FA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Neftchi Baku and Sabah FA expected goals

Neftchi Baku 1.87
Sabah FA 1.71

Total expected goals: 3.58

Neftchi Baku and Sabah FA attack and defence ratings

Neftchi Baku

Attack 1.70 +70%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Sabah FA

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA: result vs prediction

Neftchi Baku 0 – 0 Sabah FA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabah FA 37.4% 2.67 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.2% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.1% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Neftchi Baku35.7%
Draw26.9%
Sabah FA37.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.2%
Under 2.530.8%
Both teams to scoreYes70.1%
No29.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.6%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Sabah FA win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-18.4%
1-27.6%

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA stats

Neftchi Baku and Sabah FA recent form

newest first
Neftchi Baku WWWLWW
Sabah FA WWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Neftchi Baku and Sabah FA going into this match

league record before kick-off

Neftchi Baku record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sabah FA record

  • They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Neftchi Baku wins 4Draws 5Sabah FA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Sabah FANeftchi BakuPremyer Liqa1-2
2025-12-08Sabah FANeftchi BakuPremyer Liqa2-0
2025-09-14Neftchi BakuSabah FAPremyer Liqa0-0
2025-05-24Sabah FANeftchi BakuPremyer Liqa1-0
2025-04-23Sabah FANeftchi BakuCup1-1
2025-04-02Neftchi BakuSabah FACup1-2
2025-01-19Neftchi BakuSabah FAPremyer Liqa1-1
2024-10-27Sabah FANeftchi BakuPremyer Liqa0-0
2024-08-18Neftchi BakuSabah FAPremyer Liqa0-2
2024-05-25Neftchi BakuSabah FAPremyer Liqa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 28.0%, away 38.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.65 3.12 2.36
Bet365 2.75 3.25 2.25
BetVictor 2.70 3.30 2.38
Betano 2.75 3.25 2.40
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.30
Dafabet 2.70 3.25 2.37
Marathonbet 2.65 3.12 2.36
Pinnacle 2.72 3.16 2.45
William Hill 2.62 3.00 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▼ -0.10
X 3.25 —
2 2.37 ▲ +0.10

2 snapshots recorded, from .