Safa Baku
vs
Turan
0 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | S. Beusnard | ||
| 6′ | M. Jarjue | ||
| 10′ | C. Mamengi | ||
| 23′ | H. HurtadoE. Hackman | ||
| 45′ | D. Balau | ||
| 58′ | V. PopF. Yusifli | ||
| 58′ | V. QanbarovE. Cafarov | ||
| 61′ | C. MamengiI. Zulfugarli | ||
| 67′ | S. BeusnardR. Olabe | ||
| 68′ | F. Yusifli | ||
| 79′ | Henrique SilvaD. Marandici | ||
| 79′ | D. TavaresA. Jankovic | ||
| 87′ | D. MertensLuis Felipe | ||
| 87′ | B. DansokoN. Aliyev |
Safa Baku vs Turan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Safa Baku vs Turan
| Probability | Safa Baku | Draw | Turan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 27.9% | 57.2% |
| Market | 14.5% | 22.6% | 62.9% |
| Final | 14.6% | 24.0% | 61.5% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
Why Turan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Safa Baku and Turan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Safa Baku and Turan attack and defence ratings
Safa Baku
Turan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Safa Baku vs Turan: result vs prediction
Safa Baku 0 – 1 Turan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Safa Baku vs Turan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 61.5% | 1.63 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Safa Baku | 14.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Turan | 61.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turan win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.0% |
| 0-2 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Safa Baku vs Turan stats
Safa Baku and Turan recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Safa Baku and Turan going into this match
Safa Baku record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Turan record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Safa Baku vs Turan head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Safa Baku vs Turan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.5%, draw 22.6%, away 62.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.48 | 3.92 | 1.43 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 3.75 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 6.10 | 4.05 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 4.10 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 3.92 | 1.42 |
| Pinnacle | 6.52 | 4.15 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .