Sumqayıt
vs
Qabala
4 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | M. Bangre | ||
| 9′ | E. Suliman | ||
| 13′ | Renan Santana | ||
| 22′ | JeamR. Ahmadzada | ||
| 25′ | S. Shahniyarov | ||
| 28′ | I. Akinade | ||
| 29′ | R. Vasquez | ||
| 46′ | F. IskandarovE. Cekici | ||
| 62′ | C. Badolo | ||
| 63′ | Lucas Black | ||
| 66′ | K. RossiRaphael Utzig | ||
| 68′ | Lucas Black | ||
| 78′ | R. VasquezN. Ahmadzada | ||
| 78′ | Lucas BlackR. Kehat | ||
| 78′ | N. MonzangoEdson Eduardo | ||
| 78′ | M. UbochiomaBruno Silva | ||
| 83′ | S. Shahniyarov | ||
| 86′ | K. MabeaN. Rashidov | ||
| 90′ | Renan SantanaA. Suleymali | ||
| 90′ | M. BangreN. Orucov |
Sumqayıt vs Qabala overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sumqayıt vs Qabala
| Probability | Sumqayıt | Draw | Qabala |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 32.3% | 33.9% |
| Market | 37.9% | 29.9% | 32.2% |
| Final | 36.9% | 30.5% | 32.6% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sumqayıt and Qabala expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Sumqayıt and Qabala attack and defence ratings
Sumqayıt
Qabala
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala: result vs prediction
Sumqayıt 4 – 1 Qabala
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sumqayıt vs Qabala markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sumqayıt | 36.9% | 2.71 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sumqayıt | 36.9% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Qabala | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sumqayıt win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-1 | 11.3% |
Sumqayıt vs Qabala stats
Sumqayıt and Qabala recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sumqayıt and Qabala going into this match
Sumqayıt record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qabala record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 0-2 |
| 2024-05-25 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 2-3 |
| 2023-02-18 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-29 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 29.9%, away 32.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.13 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 2.99 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .