Sumqayıt
vs
Qabala
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sumqayıt
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Sumqayıt vs Qabala overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sumqayıt vs Qabala
| Probability | Sumqayıt | Draw | Qabala |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 32.4% | 33.9% |
| Market | 38.2% | 30.1% | 31.6% |
| Final | 37.1% | 30.7% | 32.2% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +2.2% | +2.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala match preview
In the upcoming match between Sumqayıt and Qabala, the probabilities suggest a closely contested fixture, with Sumqayıt and Qabala both at 34% to win, while a draw stands at 32%. The expected goals for both teams are very similar, with Sumqayıt at 1.07 and Qabala at 1.06. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Sumqayıt, with an occurrence probability of 11%.
Recent form shows Sumqayıt struggling with six games without a win, recording two draws and four losses. Qabala's recent performances have also been inconsistent, with two losses, a win, a draw, and two more losses in their last six matches. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Sumqayıt has secured two wins and one draw against Qabala, who has yet to register a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sumqayıt and Qabala expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Sumqayıt and Qabala attack and defence ratings
Sumqayıt
Qabala
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sumqayıt vs Qabala markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sumqayıt | 37.1% | 2.69 | -4.5% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sumqayıt | 37.1% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Qabala | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sumqayıt win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-1 | 11.3% |
Sumqayıt vs Qabala stats
Sumqayıt and Qabala recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sumqayıt and Qabala season so far
Sumqayıt record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qabala record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 0-2 |
| 2024-05-25 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 2-3 |
| 2023-02-18 | Qabala | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-29 | Sumqayıt | Qabala | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sumqayıt vs Qabala odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 30.1%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.05 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 2.99 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .