Premyer Liqa · Full time ·Matchday 7

Araz vs Kapaz

0 – 2 Full time

23′D. Acquah
31′Benito
42′Bruno FrancoA. Sudi
46′D. AcquahS. Seyidov
63′BenitoR. Haciyev
78′M. BaV. Abdullayev
78′V. StinaR. Maharramli
78′C. Nuriyev
80′A. SalyanskiyU. Iskandarov
82′P. Andrade
85′M. MaraC. Boli
86′R. Haciyev
88′A. FofanaA. Atakishiyev

Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi

Araz 41%
Draw 29%
Kapaz 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Araz vs Kapaz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Araz vs Kapaz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArazDrawKapaz
Model38.1%30.4%31.5%
Market42.0%27.9%30.1%
Final41.0%28.5%30.5%
Edge-3.9%+2.5%+1.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Araz ↓ / Kapaz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Araz and Kapaz expected goals

Araz 1.25
Kapaz 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.37

Araz and Kapaz attack and defence ratings

Araz

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Kapaz

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Araz vs Kapaz: result vs prediction

Araz 0 – 2 Kapaz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Premyer Liqa

Before and after this match

Araz vs Kapaz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Araz 41.0% 2.44 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Araz41.0%
Draw28.5%
Kapaz30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Araz win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.6%
1-010.4%

Araz vs Kapaz stats

Araz and Kapaz recent form

newest first
Araz LDLLLD
Kapaz DWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Araz and Kapaz going into this match

league record before kick-off

Araz record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Kapaz record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Araz vs Kapaz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Araz wins 2Draws 3Kapaz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15ArazKapazPremyer Liqa2-0
2025-12-09ArazKapazPremyer Liqa2-0
2025-12-04ArazKapazCup0-1
2025-09-12KapazArazPremyer Liqa0-2
2025-04-13KapazArazPremyer Liqa0-0
2025-02-10ArazKapazPremyer Liqa0-0
2024-11-22KapazArazPremyer Liqa0-2
2024-09-13ArazKapazPremyer Liqa1-0
2024-04-05ArazKapazPremyer Liqa1-2
2024-02-05KapazArazPremyer Liqa3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Araz vs Kapaz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 27.9%, away 30.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.18 3.02
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.00
Betano 2.18 3.35 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.18 3.30 2.95
Marathonbet 2.14 3.18 2.94
Pinnacle 2.17 3.40 2.97
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▲ +0.01
X 3.24 ▲ +0.08
2 3.00 ▼ -0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .