Şamaxı FK
vs
Araz
2 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | R. Apolinario | ||
| 32′ | A. Salyanskiy | ||
| 34′ | M. Kane | ||
| 36′ | R. Apolinario | ||
| 40′ | B. Letic | ||
| 43′ | A. Fernandez | ||
| 60′ | R. MuradovC. Boli | ||
| 60′ | M. KaneC. Nuriyev | ||
| 61′ | H. IsmayilovU. Cahangirov | ||
| 67′ | Jota | ||
| 69′ | A. Moumini | ||
| 71′ | O. MammadovE. Suleymanov | ||
| 71′ | E. AdilkhanovS. Muradly | ||
| 71′ | T. AkhvledianiA. Shuaibu | ||
| 73′ | R. Apolinario | ||
| 74′ | A. Salyanskiy | ||
| 74′ | M. MaraM. Ahmadzada | ||
| 74′ | A. FernandezU. Isgandarov | ||
| 78′ | A. RzayevBruno Franco | ||
| 90′ | E. Suleymanov |
Şamaxı FK vs Araz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Şamaxı FK vs Araz
| Probability | Şamaxı FK | Draw | Araz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 26.9% | 25.4% |
| Market | 47.7% | 28.2% | 24.1% |
| Final | 47.7% | 27.9% | 24.4% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -1.3% | +1.3% |
Why Şamaxı FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.14.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Şamaxı FK and Araz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Şamaxı FK and Araz attack and defence ratings
Şamaxı FK
Araz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Şamaxı FK vs Araz: result vs prediction
Şamaxı FK 2 – 1 Araz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Şamaxı FK vs Araz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Şamaxı FK | 47.7% | 2.10 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Şamaxı FK | 47.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Araz | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Şamaxı FK win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Şamaxı FK vs Araz stats
Şamaxı FK and Araz recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Şamaxı FK and Araz going into this match
Şamaxı FK record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Araz record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Şamaxı FK vs Araz head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Şamaxı FK | Araz | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Araz | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Şamaxı FK | Araz | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Şamaxı FK | Araz | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-14 | Araz | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Şamaxı FK | Araz | Premyer Liqa | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Araz | Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Şamaxı FK vs Araz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 28.2%, away 24.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 3.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.15 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.87 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.09 | 3.28 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.60 |