Premyer Liqa
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Kapaz
vs
Sumqayıt
1 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | D. Acquah | ||
| 35′ | M. Bangre | ||
| 46′ | D. AcquahA. Samadov | ||
| 46′ | N. AlasgarovBenito | ||
| 59′ | U. AbbasovR. Maharramli | ||
| 59′ | A. SamadovS. Seyidov | ||
| 65′ | JeamR. Ahmadzada | ||
| 75′ | E. MustafaevN. Ahmadzada | ||
| 77′ | R. Vasquez | ||
| 79′ | M. BaR. Haciyev | ||
| 81′ | N. Ahmadzada | ||
| 83′ | R. VasquezV. Pashayev | ||
| 83′ | M. BangreI. Barker | ||
| 87′ | K. Kalunga | ||
| 90′ | Keffel |
Kapaz
33%
Draw
30%
Sumqayıt
37%
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kapaz vs Sumqayıt
| Probability | Kapaz | Draw | Sumqayıt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 30.5% | 37.1% |
| Market | 33.2% | 29.4% | 37.4% |
| Final | 33.0% | 29.7% | 37.3% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +1.1% | -0.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Kapaz and Sumqayıt expected goals
Kapaz
1.13
Sumqayıt
1.23
Total expected goals: 2.36
Kapaz and Sumqayıt attack and defence ratings
Kapaz
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Sumqayıt
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt: result vs prediction
Kapaz 1 – 1 Sumqayıt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sumqayıt | 37.3% | 2.68 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kapaz | 33.0% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Sumqayıt | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sumqayıt win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.3% |
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt stats
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Kapaz wins
3Draws
3Sumqayıt wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Sumqayıt | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Sumqayıt | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Sumqayıt | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-01 | Sumqayıt | Kapaz | Premyer Liqa | 1-3 |
| 2023-12-14 | Kapaz | Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 29.4%, away 37.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.68 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.19 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 2.96 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.40 |