FK Košice
vs
Slovan Bratislava
1 – 2 Full time
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava
| Probability | FK Košice | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 20.3% | 63.5% |
| Market | 28.0% | 24.4% | 47.6% |
| Final | 25.1% | 23.3% | 51.6% |
| Edge | -11.8% | -4.1% | +15.9% |
Why Slovan Bratislava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Slovan Bratislava below the model: +15.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Košice and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
FK Košice and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings
FK Košice
Slovan Bratislava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava: result vs prediction
FK Košice 1 – 2 Slovan Bratislava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 51.6% | 1.94 | +15.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 25.1% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win | 41.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava stats
FK Košice and Slovan Bratislava recent form
| FK Košice |
WDDLWL |
| Slovan Bratislava |
DWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Košice and Slovan Bratislava going into this match
FK Košice record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | FK Košice | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Slovan Bratislava | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Košice vs Slovan Bratislava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 24.5%, away 47.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.94 |
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.80 | 1.96 |
| 888Sport | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.85 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.80 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.99 | 1.99 |
| SBO | 3.05 | 3.49 | 1.87 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .