Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica

2 – 0 Full time

Referee: M. Smolak

Zemplín Michalovce 40%
Draw 27%
Skalica 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZemplín MichalovceDrawSkalica
Model22.8%27.6%49.6%
Market45.6%27.0%27.4%
Final39.9%27.1%32.9%
Edge-22.8%+0.6%+22.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zemplín Michal ↓ / Skalica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Zemplín Michalovce and Skalica expected goals

Zemplín Michalovce 1.00
Skalica 1.58

Total expected goals: 2.58

Zemplín Michalovce and Skalica attack and defence ratings

Zemplín Michalovce

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Skalica

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica: result vs prediction

Zemplín Michalovce 2 – 0 Skalica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zemplín Michalovce 39.9% 2.50 -22.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.2% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zemplín Michalovce39.9%
Draw27.1%
Skalica32.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.7%
Under 2.552.3%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.1%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Zemplín Michalovce win8.6%
Push (exactly one goal)14.2%
Loss77.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-110.8%
1-29.5%

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica stats

Zemplín Michalovce and Skalica recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zemplín Michalovce and Skalica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zemplín Michalovce record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skalica record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Zemplín Michalovce wins 0Draws 1Skalica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14SkalicaZemplín MichalovceSlovakia Super Liga2-1
2025-09-27Zemplín MichalovceSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Skalica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 27.0%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.02 3.35 3.35
1xBet 2.05 3.44 3.39
888Sport 2.00 3.25 3.25
Bet365 2.00 3.40 3.70
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.30
Betano 2.05 3.45 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.25
Dafabet 2.05 3.45 3.40
Marathonbet 2.03 3.44 3.38
Pinnacle 2.08 3.57 3.46
SBO 1.90 3.11 3.10
Superbet 2.05 3.40 3.35
Unibet 2.00 3.30 3.15
William Hill 2.00 3.20 3.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.