AS Trencin
vs
Spartak Trnava
0 – 4 Full time
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava
| Probability | AS Trencin | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 28.3% | 48.5% |
| Market | 23.3% | 24.4% | 52.3% |
| Final | 23.3% | 25.4% | 51.4% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +4.0% | -3.8% |
Why Spartak Trnava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava attack and defence ratings
AS Trencin
Spartak Trnava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava: result vs prediction
AS Trencin 0 – 4 Spartak Trnava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 51.4% | 1.95 | -3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 23.3% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Spartak Trnava | 51.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartak Trnava win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava stats
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava recent form
| AS Trencin |
LDDWLL |
| Spartak Trnava |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Trencin and Spartak Trnava going into this match
AS Trencin record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Spartak Trnava record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Spartak Trnava | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | AS Trencin | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Trencin vs Spartak Trnava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 24.4%, away 52.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.73 |
| 1xBet | 3.87 | 3.90 | 1.79 |
| 888Sport | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.77 |
| Marathonbet | 3.88 | 3.90 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 3.94 | 4.06 | 1.81 |
| SBO | 3.74 | 3.39 | 1.71 |
| Superbet | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.77 |
| Unibet | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.72 |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .