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Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok

2 – 1 Full time

Referee: F. Malarik

AS Trencin 45%
Draw 25%
Ružomberok 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Ružomberok

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAS TrencinDrawRužomberok
Model59.0%22.3%18.7%
Market40.7%25.6%33.7%
Final45.3%24.8%29.9%
Edge+18.4%-3.3%-15.0%

Confidence: Low

Why AS Trencin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices AS Trencin below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AS Trencin ↓ / Ružomberok → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

AS Trencin and Ružomberok expected goals

AS Trencin 2.12
Ružomberok 1.14

Total expected goals: 3.26

AS Trencin and Ružomberok attack and defence ratings

AS Trencin

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Ružomberok

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok: result vs prediction

AS Trencin 2 – 1 Ružomberok

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AS Trencin 45.3% 2.21 +18.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.7% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.0% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AS Trencin45.3%
Draw24.8%
Ružomberok29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.2%
Under 2.536.8%
Both teams to scoreYes60.7%
No39.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.7%
Handicap -1AS Trencin win37.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss41.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-19.8%
2-08.7%

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok stats

AS Trencin and Ružomberok recent form

newest first
AS Trencin LLDDWL
Ružomberok LLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AS Trencin and Ružomberok going into this match

league record before kick-off

AS Trencin record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ružomberok record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2AS Trencin wins 3Draws 5Ružomberok wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09RužomberokAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga4-3
2026-03-21AS TrencinRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga3-1
2025-12-13RužomberokAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga0-0
2025-09-13AS TrencinRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga0-3
2025-05-10RužomberokAS TrencinSuper Liga1-0
2025-04-12AS TrencinRužomberokSuper Liga2-2
2024-11-09AS TrencinRužomberokSuper Liga0-0
2024-08-11RužomberokAS TrencinSuper Liga1-0
2023-11-24RužomberokAS TrencinSuper Liga1-0
2023-08-19AS TrencinRužomberokSuper Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AS Trencin vs Ružomberok odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 25.6%, away 33.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.50 2.74
1xBet 2.30 3.66 2.74
Bet365 2.25 3.70 2.75
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.70
Betano 2.30 3.60 2.80
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.63
Dafabet 2.27 3.60 2.75
Marathonbet 2.28 3.66 2.72
Pinnacle 2.31 3.68 2.76
SBO 2.15 3.21 2.54
Superbet 2.27 3.55 2.80
Unibet 2.28 3.45 2.55
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▼ -0.02
X 3.60 ▼ -0.04
2 2.74 ▲ +0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .