Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

0 – 1 Full time

Referee: I. Kruzliak

Ružomberok 50%
Draw 25%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRužomberokDrawDukla Banská Bystrica
Model41.6%24.6%33.8%
Market53.4%24.7%21.9%
Final50.4%24.7%24.9%
Edge-11.8%-0.1%+11.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Ružomberok

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ružomberok ↓ / Dukla Banská B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Ružomberok and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals

Ružomberok 1.77
Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.36

Ružomberok and Dukla Banská Bystrica attack and defence ratings

Ružomberok

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: result vs prediction

Ružomberok 0 – 1 Dukla Banská Bystrica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ružomberok 50.4% 1.98 -11.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.0% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ružomberok50.4%
Draw24.7%
Dukla Banská Bystrica24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes67.0%
No33.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.6%
Handicap -1Ružomberok win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
2-18.7%
1-27.7%

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica stats

Ružomberok and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ružomberok and Dukla Banská Bystrica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ružomberok record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dukla Banská Bystrica record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 24.7%, away 21.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.72 3.50 4.45
1xBet 1.76 3.78 4.18
888Sport 1.73 3.30 4.20
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.72 3.85 4.30
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.20
Dafabet 1.76 3.75 4.20
Marathonbet 1.74 3.78 4.20
Pinnacle 1.78 3.94 4.23
SBO 1.69 3.23 3.76
Superbet 1.75 3.70 4.10
Unibet 1.67 3.45 4.25
William Hill 1.73 3.50 3.90

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.