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Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina

1 – 3 Full time

11′A. Narimanidze
16′M. Fasko
18′T. Kudlicka
20′T. Kudlicka
30′P. Ilko
49′R. Begala
49′K. Kostrna
58′P. Ilko
59′E. SaboI. Mensah
59′G. MoistsrapishviliT. Wildeboer
64′F. TrelloP. Azango
64′L. KhorkheliL. Mehmeti
70′M. FaskoA. Florea
70′P. IlkoF. Kosa
74′T. KudlickaD. Bukovsky
74′T. HranicaS. Datko
75′D. Bukovsky
78′M. Kacer
87′M. KacerX. Adang
87′D. Homet RuizM. Roginic

City Arena Trnava, TrnavaReferee: M. Dohal

Spartak Trnava 56%
Draw 23%
Žilina 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Spartak Trnava vs Žilina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySpartak TrnavaDrawŽilina
Model70.1%18.9%10.9%
Market51.5%24.4%24.1%
Final56.2%23.0%20.8%
Edge+18.6%-5.5%-13.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Spartak Trnava

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Spartak Trnava below the model: +18.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Spartak Trnava ↓ / Žilina → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Spartak Trnava and Žilina expected goals

Spartak Trnava 2.31
Žilina 0.85

Total expected goals: 3.16

Spartak Trnava and Žilina attack and defence ratings

Spartak Trnava

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.52 -48%

Žilina

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina: result vs prediction

Spartak Trnava 1 – 3 Žilina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Spartak Trnava 56.2% 1.78 +18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Spartak Trnava win 47.1% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Spartak Trnava56.2%
Draw23.0%
Žilina20.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.2%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)43.8%
Handicap -1Spartak Trnava win47.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss30.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.3%
2-19.6%
1-19.0%

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina stats

Spartak Trnava and Žilina recent form

newest first
Spartak Trnava WWWWDD
Žilina WWLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Spartak Trnava and Žilina going into this match

league record before kick-off

Spartak Trnava record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Žilina record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Spartak Trnava wins 2Draws 0Žilina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Spartak TrnavaŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga1-0
2026-03-07ŽilinaSpartak TrnavaSlovakia Super Liga0-1
2026-02-15Spartak TrnavaŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga0-0
2025-09-28ŽilinaSpartak TrnavaSlovakia Super Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Spartak Trnava vs Žilina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 24.4%, away 24.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.82 3.70 3.70
1xBet 1.81 3.78 3.90
Bet365 1.75 3.90 3.90
Betano 1.83 3.80 3.85
Betfair 1.73 3.80 3.80
Dafabet 1.81 3.80 3.80
Marathonbet 1.79 3.78 3.90
Pinnacle 1.80 3.88 3.88
William Hill 1.75 3.50 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 —
X 3.80 ▼ -0.02
2 3.85 ▲ +0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .