Žilina
vs
Podbrezová
3 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | M. Chrien | ||
| 23′ | J. Minarik | ||
| 36′ | J. Luka | ||
| 38′ | M. Fasko | ||
| 44′ | P. Ilko | ||
| 45′ | K. Bari | ||
| 59′ | M. Chrien | ||
| 72′ | J. Krivak | ||
| 75′ | P. IlkoF. Kosa | ||
| 75′ | P. KovacikM. Rusnak | ||
| 75′ | V. ChylaS. Fasko | ||
| 75′ | B. MrvaljevicS. Tijani | ||
| 75′ | M. ChrienL. Silagadze | ||
| 81′ | M. KhyminetsS. Saidy | ||
| 83′ | M. Rusnak | ||
| 83′ | M. KacerX. Adang | ||
| 83′ | D. Homet RuizP. Baleja | ||
| 90′ | M. FaskoA. Florea | ||
| 90′ | F. Kosa |
Žilina vs Podbrezová overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Žilina vs Podbrezová
| Probability | Žilina | Draw | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 20.0% | 22.9% |
| Market | 52.0% | 24.2% | 23.8% |
| Final | 53.3% | 23.2% | 23.6% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -4.2% | -0.8% |
Why Žilina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Žilina below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Žilina and Podbrezová expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.09
Žilina and Podbrezová attack and defence ratings
Žilina
Podbrezová
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Žilina vs Podbrezová: result vs prediction
Žilina 3 – 1 Podbrezová
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Žilina vs Podbrezová markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 53.3% | 1.88 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 53.3% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Podbrezová | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.7% |
| No | 26.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 37.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 3-1 | 6.9% |
Žilina vs Podbrezová stats
Žilina and Podbrezová recent form
| WWWLWL | |
| DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Žilina and Podbrezová going into this match
Žilina record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbrezová record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina vs Podbrezová head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Žilina | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Podbrezová | Žilina | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Podbrezová | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-5 |
| 2026-03-18 | Žilina | Podbrezová | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Podbrezová | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Žilina | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Podbrezová | Žilina | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Žilina | Podbrezová | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Žilina | Podbrezová | Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-07-27 | Podbrezová | Žilina | Super Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Žilina vs Podbrezová odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 24.5%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.68 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.68 | 4.39 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 3.40 | 2.91 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .