Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Žilina vs Podbrezová

3 – 1 Full time

12′M. Chrien
23′J. Minarik
36′J. Luka
38′M. Fasko
44′P. Ilko
45′K. Bari
59′M. Chrien
72′J. Krivak
75′P. IlkoF. Kosa
75′P. KovacikM. Rusnak
75′V. ChylaS. Fasko
75′B. MrvaljevicS. Tijani
75′M. ChrienL. Silagadze
81′M. KhyminetsS. Saidy
83′M. Rusnak
83′M. KacerX. Adang
83′D. Homet RuizP. Baleja
90′M. FaskoA. Florea
90′F. Kosa

Referee: I. Kruzliak

Žilina 53%
Draw 23%
Podbrezová 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Žilina vs Podbrezová overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Žilina vs Podbrezová

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŽilinaDrawPodbrezová
Model57.1%20.0%22.9%
Market52.0%24.2%23.8%
Final53.3%23.2%23.6%
Edge+5.1%-4.2%-0.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Žilina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Žilina below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Žilina ↓ / Podbrezová → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 4% 7% 6% 4+ 5% 8% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Žilina and Podbrezová expected goals

Žilina 2.51
Podbrezová 1.59

Total expected goals: 4.09

Žilina and Podbrezová attack and defence ratings

Žilina

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Podbrezová

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Žilina vs Podbrezová: result vs prediction

Žilina 3 – 1 Podbrezová

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Žilina vs Podbrezová markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Žilina 53.3% 1.88 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.5% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.7% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.9% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Žilina53.3%
Draw23.2%
Podbrezová23.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.5%
Under 2.522.5%
Both teams to scoreYes73.7%
No26.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.4%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)46.7%
Handicap -1Žilina win37.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss42.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
1-17.3%
3-16.9%

Žilina vs Podbrezová stats

Žilina and Podbrezová recent form

newest first
Žilina WWWLWL
Podbrezová DLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Žilina and Podbrezová going into this match

league record before kick-off

Žilina record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Podbrezová record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Žilina vs Podbrezová head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Žilina wins 5Draws 2Podbrezová wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16ŽilinaPodbrezováSlovakia Super Liga0-2
2026-04-14PodbrezováŽilinaCup1-1
2026-04-11PodbrezováŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga1-5
2026-03-18ŽilinaPodbrezováCup2-0
2025-11-30PodbrezováŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga2-0
2025-08-24ŽilinaPodbrezováSlovakia Super Liga3-0
2025-04-19PodbrezováŽilinaSuper Liga1-1
2025-03-08ŽilinaPodbrezováSuper Liga0-0
2024-10-26ŽilinaPodbrezováSuper Liga2-2
2024-07-27PodbrezováŽilinaSuper Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Žilina vs Podbrezová odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 24.5%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.65 3.55
1xBet 1.80 3.68 4.08
Bet365 1.80 4.00 3.75
BetVictor 1.75 4.10 3.60
Betano 1.93 3.70 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.70 3.40
Dafabet 1.93 3.70 3.55
Marathonbet 1.78 3.68 4.10
Pinnacle 1.81 3.68 4.39
SBO 1.88 3.40 2.91
William Hill 1.75 4.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.79 ▼ -0.14
X 3.84 ▲ +0.24
2 3.92 ▲ +0.31

11 snapshots recorded, from .