Radomlje
vs
Maribor
0 – 3 Full time
| 13′ | Z. Karnicnik | ||
| 34′ | Z. Jevsenak | ||
| 46′ | D. IkennaS. Bangura | ||
| 46′ | V. KodermanM. Spanring | ||
| 48′ | M. Zaper | ||
| 57′ | V. PelkoN. Marinsek | ||
| 57′ | A. ZabukovnikO. Gnjatic | ||
| 62′ | B. FetaZ. Repas | ||
| 66′ | M. Spanring | ||
| 69′ | Z. Repas | ||
| 73′ | B. BurculJ. Jelen | ||
| 73′ | N. ViherN. Osterc | ||
| 73′ | J. MlakarL. Zahovic | ||
| 80′ | I. TshipambaD. Vizinger | ||
| 86′ | J. BalicT. Puc | ||
| 89′ | D. Kantuzer |
Radomlje vs Maribor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radomlje vs Maribor
| Probability | Radomlje | Draw | Maribor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 25.1% | 52.3% |
| Market | 18.9% | 22.4% | 58.7% |
| Final | 19.8% | 23.1% | 57.1% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +2.7% | -6.3% |
Why Maribor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radomlje and Maribor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Radomlje and Maribor attack and defence ratings
Radomlje
Maribor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Radomlje vs Maribor: result vs prediction
Radomlje 0 – 3 Maribor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Radomlje vs Maribor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 57.1% | 1.75 | -6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomlje | 19.8% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Maribor | 57.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Radomlje vs Maribor stats
Radomlje and Maribor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radomlje and Maribor going into this match
Radomlje record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maribor record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radomlje vs Maribor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Radomlje | Maribor | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Maribor | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Radomlje | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Maribor | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 5-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Maribor | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Radomlje | Maribor | 1. SNL | 0-4 |
| 2024-11-02 | Maribor | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Radomlje | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-29 | Maribor | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-06 | Maribor | Radomlje | Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radomlje vs Maribor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 22.4%, away 58.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.81 | 4.05 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.05 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 4.91 | 4.32 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .