Shirak
vs
Ararat-Armenia
1 – 3 Full time
| 2′ | H. Mnatsakanyan | ||
| 18′ | S. Tsarukyan | ||
| 23′ | Junior Julio | ||
| 33′ | Franca Carlos | ||
| 40′ | E. Grigoryan | ||
| 51′ | A. Serobyan | ||
| 52′ | V. Sargsyan | ||
| 74′ | R. Mkrtchyan |
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia
| Probability | Shirak | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 30.1% | 34.0% |
| Market | 14.9% | 22.4% | 62.7% |
| Final | 20.2% | 24.3% | 55.5% |
| Edge | +20.9% | +7.7% | -28.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shirak and Ararat-Armenia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Shirak and Ararat-Armenia attack and defence ratings
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia: result vs prediction
Shirak 1 – 3 Ararat-Armenia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 55.5% | 1.80 | -28.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shirak | 20.2% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Ararat-Armenia | 55.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat-Armenia win | 14.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.6% |
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia stats
Shirak and Ararat-Armenia recent form
| Shirak |
LWWLWL |
| Ararat-Armenia |
LWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shirak and Ararat-Armenia going into this match
Shirak record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ararat-Armenia record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Shirak | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Shirak | Ararat-Armenia | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-04 | Ararat-Armenia | Shirak | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Ararat-Armenia | Shirak | Armenia Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Shirak | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Ararat-Armenia | Shirak | Premier League | 5-1 |
| 2024-10-22 | Shirak | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-19 | Ararat-Armenia | Shirak | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2024-05-21 | Ararat-Armenia | Shirak | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Shirak | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 22.4%, away 62.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.47 | 4.00 | 1.42 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.00 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.70 | 3.95 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 4.00 | 1.41 |
| Pinnacle | 6.47 | 4.20 | 1.43 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 3.80 | 1.42 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .