BKMA
vs
Sardarapat
1 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | S. Kochkanyan | ||
| 35′ | D. Dokhoyan | ||
| 41′ | A. Askaryan | ||
| 46′ | H. ManukyanS. Movsisyan | ||
| 59′ | A. SargsyanJ. Quinonez | ||
| 59′ | S. GalstyanF. Seri | ||
| 59′ | M. HakobyanH. Minasyan | ||
| 62′ | V. Doumbia | ||
| 72′ | H. Ghazaryan | ||
| 72′ | M. AsiryanA. Davidov | ||
| 75′ | L. Petrosyan | ||
| 81′ | S. KochkanyanT. Ayunts | ||
| 81′ | G. AbrahamyanA. Danielyan | ||
| 85′ | D. DavtyanZ. Ashikyan | ||
| 87′ | D. HarutyunyanS. Harutyunyan | ||
| 90′ | A. Petrosyan | ||
| 90′ | C. Yann Lago | ||
| 90′ | H. Minasyan |
BKMA vs Sardarapat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BKMA vs Sardarapat
| Probability | BKMA | Draw | Sardarapat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.2% |
| Market | 29.4% | 27.1% | 43.5% |
| Final | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.2% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.3% | -1.3% |
Why Sardarapat
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BKMA and Sardarapat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
BKMA and Sardarapat attack and defence ratings
BKMA
Sardarapat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
BKMA vs Sardarapat: result vs prediction
BKMA 1 – 1 Sardarapat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
BKMA vs Sardarapat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 43.2% | 2.32 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BKMA | 29.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Sardarapat | 43.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sardarapat win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
BKMA vs Sardarapat stats
BKMA and Sardarapat recent form
| BKMA |
LWWLLL |
| Sardarapat |
DWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BKMA and Sardarapat going into this match
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BKMA vs Sardarapat head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
BKMA vs Sardarapat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.4%, draw 27.1%, away 43.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.32 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.32 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 3.48 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .