FC Noah
vs
Van
2 – 0 Full time
| 40′ | M. Jakolis | ||
| 46′ | G. SangareS. Zdjelar | ||
| 46′ | M. JakolisB. Oddei | ||
| 55′ | S. Mambo | ||
| 57′ | Van | ||
| 60′ | M. GonzalezM. Lazetic | ||
| 65′ | V. CostacheD. Sualehe | ||
| 65′ | M. Lazetic | ||
| 69′ | Van | ||
| 73′ | H. HambardzumyanC. Dombila | ||
| 75′ | Helder Ferreira | ||
| 76′ | Van | ||
| 89′ | C. Dombila |
FC Noah vs Van overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Noah vs Van
| Probability | FC Noah | Draw | Van |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 92.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Market | 87.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Final | 88.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Edge | +4.4% | -2.7% | -1.7% |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.80 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Noah below the model: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Noah and Van expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.34
FC Noah and Van attack and defence ratings
FC Noah
Van
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Noah vs Van: result vs prediction
FC Noah 2 – 0 Van
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Noah vs Van markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 88.9% | 1.13 | +4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 88.9% |
| Draw | 8.1% | |
| Van | 3.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 91.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 11.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 80.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.8% | |
| Loss | 8.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 12.0% |
| 4-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
FC Noah vs Van stats
FC Noah and Van recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Noah and Van going into this match
FC Noah record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
Van record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Noah vs Van head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | FC Noah | Van | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-20 | FC Noah | Van | Armenia Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Van | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | FC Noah | Van | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Van | FC Noah | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-30 | Van | FC Noah | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-16 | FC Noah | Van | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | FC Noah | Van | Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2024-09-19 | Van | FC Noah | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-11 | Van | FC Noah | Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Noah vs Van odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 87.8%, draw 8.8%, away 3.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.01 | 12.50 | 35.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 9.50 | 23.00 |
| Betano | 1.07 | 8.25 | 19.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 10.50 | 29.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.00 | 11.25 | 27.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.03 | 16.28 | 26.62 |
| SBO | 1.05 | 7.91 | 17.80 |
| William Hill | 1.06 | 10.00 | 41.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .