Armenia Premier League · 2026-10-10T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Van vs Gandzasar

2 – 0 Full time

32′			B. Mani
40′			A. S. Akanni
45′			J. Torres
45′			K. Sammani
51′			K. Sammani
58′			A. Khachatryan
63′			AtilaS. Grigoryan
63′			K. DoumbiaRobson
63′			Joao AdrianoT. Rocha
63′			D. NetoL. Reis
63′			I. AjandaNascimento
63′			N. ManukyanBrayann Santiago
70′			S. Kanda
70′			J. GabaV. Makhsudyan
81′			P. Avetisyan
84′			E. LizaldaD. Titkov
87′			K. SammaniK. Boukari
87′			D. PolonskyiA. Karapetyan

Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan

Van

33%

Draw

27%

Gandzasar

40%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Van vs Gandzasar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Van vs Gandzasar

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Van	Draw	Gandzasar
Model	37.5%	29.4%	33.1%
Market	31.8%	26.3%	42.0%
Final	33.2%	27.1%	39.7%
Edge	+1.4%	+0.8%	-2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Van and Gandzasar expected goals

Van

1.30

Gandzasar

1.21

Total expected goals: 2.52

Van and Gandzasar attack and defence ratings

Van

Attack

0.55 -45%

Defence

1.47 +47%

Gandzasar

Attack

0.70 -30%

Defence

1.59 +59%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Van vs Gandzasar: result vs prediction

Van 2 – 0 Gandzasar

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Sardarapat vs FC Noah — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
FC Urartu v Ararat — match page · 2026-10-11
Syunik v Shirak — match page · 2026-10-12
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Van, previous: FC Noah vs Van: odds and pick
Van, next: FC Urartu v Van analysis
Gandzasar, previous: Gandzasar – FC Urartu, 2026-09-18
Gandzasar, next: Gandzasar – Sardarapat, 2026-10-16

Van vs Gandzasar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Gandzasar	39.7%	2.52	-2.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.0%	1.85	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	52.4%	1.91	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.9%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	66.9%	1.49	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Van	33.2%
	Draw	27.1%
	Gandzasar	39.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	46.0%
	Under 2.5	54.0%
Both teams to score	Yes	52.4%
	No	47.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	60.3%
	12 (either side)	72.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	66.8%
Handicap -1	Gandzasar win	14.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.6%
	Loss	66.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.0%
	0-0	9.4%
	1-0	9.3%

Van vs Gandzasar stats

Van and Gandzasar recent form

newest first

Van	LWLLDL
Gandzasar	LLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Van and Gandzasar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Van record

They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gandzasar record

They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Van vs Gandzasar head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

7Van wins 1Draws 1Gandzasar wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-02	Gandzasar	Van	Armenia Premier League	0-1
2026-02-14	Van	Gandzasar	Friendlies Clubs	0-0
2025-11-09	Van	Gandzasar	Armenia Premier League	2-1
2025-09-12	Gandzasar	Van	Armenia Premier League	1-0
2025-05-12	Gandzasar	Van	Premier League	1-2
2025-04-06	Van	Gandzasar	Premier League	2-0
2024-08-16	Van	Gandzasar	Premier League	6-1
2020-10-31	Gandzasar	Van	Premier League	1-3
2020-08-15	Van	Gandzasar	Premier League	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Van vs Gandzasar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 26.3%, away 42.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.84	3.45	2.14
Bet365	2.88	3.40	2.10
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.15
Marathonbet	2.77	3.45	2.12
Pinnacle	2.83	3.64	2.16
William Hill	2.75	3.30	2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.