Van
vs
Gandzasar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Van
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Van vs Gandzasar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Van vs Gandzasar
| Probability | Van | Draw | Gandzasar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.5% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Van
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Van vs Gandzasar match preview
In the upcoming Armenia Premier League match, Van faces Gandzasar, with model probabilities indicating a 37% chance of a Van victory, a 29% likelihood of a draw, and a 33% chance for Gandzasar. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Van, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Van's last six matches resulting in one win and five losses, while Gandzasar has struggled significantly, losing all of their last six encounters.
The expected goals for this match are 1.30 for Van and 1.21 for Gandzasar, suggesting a closely contested game. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 46%, and both teams to score is at 52%. In their last three head-to-head meetings, Van has secured two wins, while Gandzasar has one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Van and Gandzasar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Van and Gandzasar attack and defence ratings
Van
Gandzasar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Van vs Gandzasar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Van | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Van | 37.5% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Gandzasar | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Van win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Van vs Gandzasar stats
Van and Gandzasar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Van and Gandzasar season so far
Van record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Van vs Gandzasar head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Gandzasar | Van | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Van | Gandzasar | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Van | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Gandzasar | Van | Armenia Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Gandzasar | Van | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Van | Gandzasar | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Van | Gandzasar | Premier League | 6-1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Gandzasar | Van | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2020-08-15 | Van | Gandzasar | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.