FC Urartu
vs
Ararat
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | A. Aslanyan | ||
| 20′ | V. Samsonyan | ||
| 35′ | K. Ishibashi | ||
| 46′ | K. MelkonyanE. Piloyan | ||
| 62′ | Alef SantosN. Aghasaryan | ||
| 62′ | L. BashoyanM. Mirzoyan | ||
| 65′ | P. AleqyanS. J. Bakayoko | ||
| 73′ | Y. TsymbalyukK. Ayvazyan | ||
| 74′ | A. GrigoryanM. Fofana | ||
| 74′ | E. MovsesyanN. Alaverdyan | ||
| 79′ | G. Lulukyan | ||
| 82′ | P. HandzongoA. Ouattara | ||
| 88′ | S. J. Bakayoko |
FC Urartu vs Ararat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Urartu vs Ararat
| Probability | FC Urartu | Draw | Ararat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 26.1% | 18.8% |
| Market | 60.7% | 22.8% | 16.6% |
| Final | 59.3% | 23.6% | 17.1% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +0.8% | +0.6% |
Why FC Urartu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.92.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Urartu and Ararat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
FC Urartu and Ararat attack and defence ratings
FC Urartu
Ararat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Urartu vs Ararat: result vs prediction
FC Urartu 2 – 2 Ararat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Urartu vs Ararat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 59.3% | 1.69 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 59.3% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Ararat | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Urartu win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 10.6% |
FC Urartu vs Ararat stats
FC Urartu and Ararat recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Urartu and Ararat going into this match
FC Urartu record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Urartu vs Ararat head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-01 | FC Urartu | Ararat | Cup | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-03 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Cup | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-03 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | FC Urartu | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 6-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Premier League | 2-4 |
| 2024-10-26 | FC Urartu | Ararat | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-24 | FC Urartu | Ararat | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-03 | Ararat | FC Urartu | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Urartu vs Ararat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 22.8%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 3.96 | 5.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.95 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 3.96 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.10 | 5.44 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .