Ararat
vs
Shirak
1 – 1 Full time
Ararat vs Shirak overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat vs Shirak
| Probability | Ararat | Draw | Shirak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 29.3% | 29.1% |
| Market | 33.6% | 28.6% | 37.8% |
| Final | 35.6% | 28.8% | 35.6% |
| Edge | +8.1% | +0.7% | -8.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat and Shirak expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Ararat and Shirak attack and defence ratings
Ararat
Shirak
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat vs Shirak: result vs prediction
Ararat 1 – 1 Shirak
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat vs Shirak markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shirak | 35.6% | 2.81 | -8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat | 35.6% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Shirak | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shirak win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 71.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Ararat vs Shirak stats
Ararat and Shirak recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat and Shirak going into this match
Ararat record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shirak record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ararat vs Shirak head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Shirak | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Ararat | Shirak | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Ararat | Shirak | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Shirak | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2025-04-08 | Shirak | Ararat | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-04 | Ararat | Shirak | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-25 | Ararat | Shirak | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Ararat | Shirak | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Shirak | Ararat | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Ararat | Shirak | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ararat vs Shirak odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 28.7%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.12 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.12 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .