Van
vs
Ararat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ararat
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Van vs Ararat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Van vs Ararat
| Probability | Van | Draw | Ararat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 27.3% | 38.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.7% | 27.3% | 38.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Van vs Ararat match preview
In the upcoming match between Van and Ararat in the Armenia Premier League, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Ararat slightly favored at 37% to win compared to Van's 34% and a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Van recording a W-L-W-L-L-D streak and Ararat with D-W-W-L-L-L.
The expected goals for the match suggest a close contest, with Van at 1.21 and Ararat at 1.28. Additionally, there is a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, while the likelihood of both teams finding the net stands at 52%. The recent head-to-head record favors Van slightly, with 2 wins to Ararat's 1 in their last 3 encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Van and Ararat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Van and Ararat attack and defence ratings
Van
Ararat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Van vs Ararat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Van | 33.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Ararat | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Van vs Ararat stats
Van and Ararat recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Van and Ararat season so far
Van record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Ararat record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Van vs Ararat head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Ararat | Van | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Van | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Ararat | Van | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.