Pyunik Yerevan
vs
Gandzasar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan
3 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar
| Probability | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | Gandzasar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 91.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 91.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pyunik Yerevan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.59 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar match preview
Pyunik Yerevan enters the match against Gandzasar with a strong probability of winning at 91%, while Gandzasar's chances are notably low at 2%. The expected goals for Pyunik Yerevan stand at 3.65, compared to Gandzasar's 0.51, indicating a significant disparity in offensive capabilities. Recent form further emphasizes this trend, with Pyunik Yerevan recording three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Gandzasar has lost all six of their recent outings.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-0, with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, though both teams scoring is less likely at 39%. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Pyunik Yerevan has won all matches against Gandzasar, reinforcing expectations for this upcoming fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.09
Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar attack and defence ratings
Pyunik Yerevan
Gandzasar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 91.0% |
| Draw | 7.0% | |
| Gandzasar | 2.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.6% |
| No | 61.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 93.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 9.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 78.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.0% | |
| Loss | 9.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 12.9% |
| 4-0 | 11.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar stats
Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar recent form
| Pyunik Yerevan |
WDWWDW |
| Gandzasar |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pyunik Yerevan and Gandzasar season so far
Pyunik Yerevan record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Gandzasar | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Pyunik Yerevan | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Gandzasar | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.