FC Noah
vs
Pyunik Yerevan
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Noah
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan
| Probability | FC Noah | Draw | Pyunik Yerevan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 25.3% | 24.9% |
| Market | 49.3% | 27.0% | 23.7% |
| Final | 49.4% | 26.6% | 24.0% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan match preview
FC Noah enters the match against Pyunik Yerevan with a strong recent form, having won their last six matches. Their expected goals for this fixture stand at 2.07, indicating a potent attacking threat. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of FC Noah, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 61% likelihood that both teams will find the net.
In contrast, Pyunik Yerevan's recent form shows a mix of results, including three wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. They have an expected goals figure of 1.16, suggesting they may struggle to keep pace with FC Noah's offense. Historically, FC Noah has had the upper hand in their last three encounters, securing one win and two draws against Pyunik Yerevan, who has yet to claim victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Noah and Pyunik Yerevan expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
FC Noah and Pyunik Yerevan attack and defence ratings
FC Noah
Pyunik Yerevan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 49.4% | 2.02 | +0.6% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 49.4% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Pyunik Yerevan | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan stats
FC Noah and Pyunik Yerevan recent form
| FC Noah |
WWWWWW |
| Pyunik Yerevan |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Noah and Pyunik Yerevan season so far
FC Noah record
- They have won 9 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 2.6 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
Pyunik Yerevan record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-01 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Cup | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Noah | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-09 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Noah | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-24 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-21 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Noah | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-31 | FC Noah | Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 27.0%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.34 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.88 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .