Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 10

FC Urartu vs Van

5 – 2 Full time

17′K. Sammani
24′M. Rajani
32′Van
48′Van
54′FC Urartu
56′Van
61′FC Urartu
64′FC Urartu
80′Van
87′FC Urartu
90′FC Urartu
90′FC Urartu

Urartu Stadium, Yerevan

FC Urartu 61%
Draw 23%
Van 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Urartu vs Van overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Urartu vs Van

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC UrartuDrawVan
Model63.2%23.0%13.9%
Market60.7%22.8%16.6%
Final61.3%22.8%15.9%
Edge+2.5%+0.2%-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Urartu

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.82.
  • The market prices FC Urartu below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Urartu ↓ / Van → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

FC Urartu and Van expected goals

FC Urartu 1.96
Van 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.77

FC Urartu and Van attack and defence ratings

FC Urartu

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Van

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Urartu vs Van: result vs prediction

FC Urartu 5 – 2 Van

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

FC Urartu vs Van markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Urartu 61.3% 1.63 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.1% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 FC Urartu win 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Urartu61.3%
Draw22.8%
Van15.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.4%
Under 2.547.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.1%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)38.7%
Handicap -1FC Urartu win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss36.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.0%
1-011.2%
1-111.0%

FC Urartu vs Van stats

FC Urartu and Van recent form

newest first
FC Urartu DWLLDW
Van WLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Urartu and Van going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Urartu record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Van record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

FC Urartu vs Van head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5FC Urartu wins 3Draws 2Van wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26FC UrartuVanArmenia Premier League2-0
2026-04-10VanFC UrartuArmenia Premier League1-2
2025-10-28FC UrartuVanCup4-0
2025-08-15VanFC UrartuArmenia Premier League0-2
2025-05-28FC UrartuVanPremier League0-2
2024-11-11VanFC UrartuPremier League3-1
2024-10-16FC UrartuVanPremier League3-1
2024-05-20VanFC UrartuPremier League1-1
2024-03-30FC UrartuVanPremier League1-1
2023-11-12VanFC UrartuPremier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Urartu vs Van odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 22.8%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.44 4.00 6.09
Bet365 1.53 4.20 4.50
BetVictor 1.50 4.00 5.50
Betano 1.50 3.90 5.40
Betfair 1.44 4.20 5.50
Dafabet 1.49 4.20 5.80
Marathonbet 1.43 4.00 5.80
Pinnacle 1.50 4.15 5.49
William Hill 1.50 3.80 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 —
X 4.00 ▼ -0.08
2 5.50 ▼ -0.15

3 snapshots recorded, from .