Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Alashkert vs Syunik

5 – 1 Full time

4′Syunik
8′Alashkert
23′Syunik
27′Syunik
29′K. Nalbandyan
37′D. J. Massoumou
45′M. Toure
68′K. Nalbandyan
75′Syunik
85′P. Ejike
87′K. Enning
90′Syunik

Alashkert Stadium, Yerevan

Alashkert 75%
Draw 16%
Syunik 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Alashkert vs Syunik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alashkert vs Syunik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlashkertDrawSyunik
Model72.4%19.3%8.3%
Market76.1%15.3%8.6%
Final75.2%16.3%8.5%
Edge-0.9%+1.0%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Alashkert

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alashkert ↓ / Syunik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 13% 9% 2 15% 9% 3 11% 4+ 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Alashkert and Syunik expected goals

Alashkert 2.17
Syunik 0.61

Total expected goals: 2.78

Alashkert and Syunik attack and defence ratings

Alashkert

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Syunik

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alashkert vs Syunik: result vs prediction

Alashkert 5 – 1 Syunik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Alashkert vs Syunik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alashkert 75.2% 1.33 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.5% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Alashkert win 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alashkert75.2%
Draw16.3%
Syunik8.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.5%
12 (either side)83.7%
X2 (draw or away)24.8%
Handicap -1Alashkert win48.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss27.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.5%
1-012.6%
3-010.5%

Alashkert vs Syunik stats

Alashkert and Syunik recent form

newest first
Alashkert DDDWDW
Syunik WLLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alashkert and Syunik going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alashkert record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Syunik record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Alashkert vs Syunik head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Alashkert vs Syunik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.1%, draw 15.3%, away 8.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.17 6.00 11.40
Bet365 1.25 5.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.20 5.75 11.00
Betano 1.24 5.40 8.50
Betfair 1.15 6.00 11.00
Dafabet 1.23 6.40 9.40
Marathonbet 1.16 6.00 10.75
Pinnacle 1.21 6.15 9.14
William Hill 1.22 5.50 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▼ -0.02
X 6.00 ▲ +0.35
2 10.75 ▲ +1.20

2 snapshots recorded, from .