Alashkert
vs
Syunik
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alashkert
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Alashkert vs Syunik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alashkert vs Syunik
| Probability | Alashkert | Draw | Syunik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.4% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 81.4% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alashkert
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Alashkert vs Syunik match preview
Alashkert is favored to win against Syunik with an 81% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Alashkert stand at 2.59, while Syunik's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.51. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, which has a 15% likelihood of occurring. Additionally, there is a 60% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and a 38% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Alashkert has recorded two draws and two wins in their last five matches, while Syunik has struggled, losing four of their last five games and drawing once. This contrast in performance may play a crucial role in the upcoming fixture, as Alashkert looks to capitalize on Syunik's difficulties. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alashkert and Syunik expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Alashkert and Syunik attack and defence ratings
Alashkert
Syunik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alashkert vs Syunik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 81.4% |
| Draw | 13.9% | |
| Syunik | 4.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.7% |
| No | 62.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 60.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 18.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.1% |
| 3-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.0% |
Alashkert vs Syunik stats
Alashkert and Syunik recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alashkert and Syunik season so far
Alashkert record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Syunik record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.